Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 5, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, San Jose Sharks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 78% of the time.

SJS winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Callahan, saved by Stalock
  3. P1 2:19Goal by Kucherov (Hedman)+19 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Martin, Burns, Wingels, Donskoi · TBL Hedman, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Drouin

  4. P1 4:15Shot by Nieto, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 5:10Shot by Dillon, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 8:09Pavelski: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Ward, Martin, Burns, Nieto, Hertl · TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov

  7. P1 9:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Stalock4v5
  8. P1 11:20Goal by Condra (Sustr, Brown)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Ward, Nieto, Tennyson, Hertl, Mueller · TBL Coburn, Condra, Namestnikov, Brown, Sustr

  9. P1 12:28Shot by Stralman, saved by Stalock
  10. P1 14:06Shot by Filppula, saved by Stalock
  11. P1 16:33Boyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ward, Martin, Burns, Nieto, Tierney · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Hedman, Nesterov, Brown

  12. P1 17:07Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop5v4
  13. P1 19:59Shot by Thornton, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Stalock
  17. P2 1:05Shot by Nieto, saved by Bishop
  18. P2 1:13Shot by Stralman, saved by Stalock
  19. P2 1:29Marchessault: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ward, Nieto, Tennyson, Hertl, Mueller · TBL Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Marchessault, Brown

  20. P2 1:53Wingels: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Wingels · TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Nesterov, Kucherov

  21. P2 2:20Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop4v4
  22. P2 2:34Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop4v4
  23. P2 3:11Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop4v4
  24. P2 4:06Shot by Tierney, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 4:41Shot by Mueller, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 8:03Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 8:49Shot by Filppula, saved by Stalock
  28. P2 9:20Coburn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Wingels, Donskoi, Tennyson, Mueller · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Callahan, Brown, Sustr

  29. P2 9:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Stalock5v4
  30. P2 9:59Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop5v4
  31. P2 10:30Shot by Thornton, saved by Bishop5v4
  32. P2 11:35Shot by Braun, saved by Bishop
  33. P2 11:55Sustr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Brown, Braun, Dillon, Tierney · TBL Coburn, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr, Drouin

  34. P2 13:10Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop5v4
  35. P2 13:29Shot by Tennyson, saved by Bishop5v4
  36. P2 13:34Shot by Karlsson, saved by Bishop5v4
  37. P2 13:35Goal by Tennyson (Braun, Hertl)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Braun, Donskoi, Tennyson, Hertl, Karlsson · TBL Boyle, Stralman, Condra, Hedman

  38. P2 14:44Shot by Drouin, saved by Stalock
  39. P2 15:03Tierney: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Martin, Wingels, Dillon, Tierney · TBL Filppula, Killorn, Garrison, Nesterov, Kucherov

  40. P2 16:05Ward: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Ward, Braun, Dillon · TBL Callahan, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov

  41. P2 16:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Stalock3v5
  42. P2 16:44Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos)3v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Martin, Braun · TBL Filppula, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Marchessault

  43. P2 19:20Shot by Coburn, saved by Stalock
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:40Stralman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Burns, Wingels, Hertl, Mueller, Karlsson · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown

  47. P3 0:44Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop5v4
  48. P3 2:25Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop5v4
  49. P3 2:27Shot by Ward, saved by Bishop5v4
  50. P3 3:00Shot by Brown, saved by Stalock
  51. P3 3:01Goal by Boyle (Brown)+5 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Braun, Wingels, Dillon, Nieto, Hertl · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Marchessault, Brown, Sustr

  52. P3 4:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Stalock
  53. P3 5:42Garrison: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Martin, Pavelski, Tennyson, Karlsson · TBL Condra, Garrison, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Marchessault

  54. P3 6:01Shot by Callahan, saved by Stalock5v4
  55. P3 6:08Shot by Thornton, saved by Bishop5v4
  56. P3 7:14Shot by Tennyson, saved by Bishop5v4
  57. P3 7:24Shot by Ward, saved by Bishop5v4
  58. P3 8:13Shot by Brown, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 8:13Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Martin, Brown, Dillon, Tierney · TBL Hedman, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Drouin

  60. P3 8:26Goal by Ward (Burns, Pavelski)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Ward, Burns, Pavelski · TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Brown, Sustr

  61. P3 8:54Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 11:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Stalock
  63. P3 11:58Shot by Hertl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 13:47Killorn: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Ward, Braun, Dillon, Donskoi · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Sustr

  65. P3 14:19Shot by Ward, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  66. P3 14:32Goal by Burns, unassisted5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Ward, Burns, Pavelski · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman

  67. P3 16:26Shot by Ward, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 17:32Shot by Killorn, saved by Stalock
  69. P3 19:02Shot by Thornton, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  70. P3 19:53Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  71. P3 19:56Shot by Ward, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final