Sun, Dec 6, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 011 | 112 | 08 | 131 |
| CHI | 111 | 09 | 212 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:56CHIMarian HossaAssists: Brent Seabrook, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P2 5:34WPGChris ThorburnAssists: Toby Enstrom · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–1
- P3 0:21CHITeuvo TeravainenGWGAssists: Duncan Keith, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.12 xG1–2
- P3 18:14CHIArtemi PanarinENAssists: Patrick Kane, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.67 xG1–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 4:59CHIAndrew Desjardins: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:23WPGMark Scheifele: Interference2 min
- P1 19:28WPGDustin Byfuglien: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:10CHIRyan Garbutt: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:10WPGBryan Little: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestPeluso – Lowry – Copp5:58
xG 0.24–0.03 (87%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Stafford – Perreault – Scheifele14:13
xG 0.43–0.23 (65%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Burmistrov – Ehlers9:30
xG 0.28–0.62 (31%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Ladd – Wheeler – Little12:04
xG 0.26–1.03 (20%)attempts 8–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Trouba4:41
xG 0.48–0.22 (68%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Myers16:25
xG 0.45–0.24 (65%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Stuart – Trouba11:10
xG 0.26–0.52 (33%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Toews – Teravainen10:40
xG 1.07–0.21 (83%)attempts 13–8goals 2–0
- Desjardins – Kruger – Garbutt9:18
xG 0.59–0.09 (87%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin13:29
xG 0.22–0.19 (54%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Bickell – Shaw – Kero4:00
xG 0.04–0.39 (10%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Hjalmarsson2:03
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Rozsival – Hjalmarsson2:50
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Keith5:17
xG 0.34–0.03 (91%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).