Wed, Dec 9, 2015·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 1, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 015 | 08 | 110 | 133 |
| VAN | 07 | 07 | 211 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 3:19VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P3 8:54NYRDan BoyleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1
- P3 9:24VANDaniel SedinGWGAssists: Alexander Edler, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 18:10NYRRyan McDonagh: Holding2 min
- P2 1:39VANAlexander Edler: Holding2 min
- P2 2:30NYROscar Lindberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:12VANDan Hamhuis: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:29VANDan Hamhuis: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 1:32NYRDominic Moore: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:57NYRJarret Stoll: Delaying game2 min
- P3 3:19NYRChris Kreider: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 3:59NYRRyan McDonagh: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:43VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min
- P3 8:54VANChris Tanev: Penalty shot covering puck in crease0 min
- P3 12:27VANAlexandre Burrows: Delaying game2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Lindberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Glass – Stalberg4:43
xG 0.61–0.03 (96%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Nash – Kreider – Lindberg8:01
xG 0.55–0.17 (76%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Brassard – Zuccarello – Hayes10:43
xG 0.36–0.29 (56%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Moore – Fast – Miller8:14
xG 0.21–0.31 (41%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – McIlrath8:46
xG 1.01–0.17 (86%)attempts 23–3goals 0–0
- Boyle – Staal8:15
xG 0.21–0.05 (82%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Staal – McIlrath2:41
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Prust – Cracknell – Dorsett9:09
xG 0.49–0.50 (50%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen8:35
xG 0.19–0.23 (45%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Burrows – Baertschi – Horvat8:41
xG 0.14–0.44 (24%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Higgins – McCann8:19
xG 0.10–0.53 (16%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Biega – Bartkowski3:07
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Bartkowski – Hutton9:13
xG 0.32–0.51 (39%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev12:22
xG 0.26–0.55 (32%)attempts 8–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).