Fri, Dec 11, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 0, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 07 | 05 | 013 | 025 |
| CHI | 113 | 18 | 010 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:34CHIJonathan ToewsPPGWGAssists: Marian Hossa, Andrew Shaw · Wrist, 0.39 xG0–1
- P2 10:36CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, David Rundblad · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:30WPGAdam Lowry: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 7:38WPGMark Stuart: Interference2 min
- P1 15:47CHIBrent Seabrook: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:57WPGDustin Byfuglien: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:28CHIArtemi Panarin: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:33CHITrevor van Riemsdyk: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:48WPGDustin Byfuglien: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 17:20CHIMarcus Kruger: Holding2 min
- P2 19:49WPGMark Stuart: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:35CHIMarian Hossa: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Wheeler – Little9:12
xG 1.30–0.32 (80%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Burmistrov – Ehlers3:02
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Burmistrov – Lowry – Ehlers3:55
xG 0.11–0.23 (33%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Stafford – Perreault – Scheifele10:52
xG 0.06–0.36 (14%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Trouba6:54
xG 1.31–0.26 (84%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Stuart – Trouba6:16
xG 0.14–0.09 (59%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Stuart – Chiarot3:24
xG 0.10–0.11 (49%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDesjardins – Mashinter – Kruger6:20
xG 0.40–0.08 (83%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin9:40
xG 0.15–0.05 (77%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Bickell – Shaw – Rasmussen5:39
xG 0.13–0.53 (19%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Teravainen9:23
xG 0.30–0.86 (26%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – van Riemsdyk10:58
xG 0.37–0.05 (89%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Daley – Rundblad7:01
xG 0.26–0.19 (58%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Seabrook – van Riemsdyk3:22
xG 0.13–0.14 (49%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).