Sun, Dec 20, 2015·TD Garden, Boston
New Jersey Devils 1, Boston Bruins 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 113 | 07 | 02 | 0 | 130 |
| BOS | 14 | 015 | 011 | 09 | 1 | 239 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:15BOSLoui ErikssonAssists: David Krejci, Colin Miller · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 1:51NJDAndy GreeneAssists: Lee Stempniak, Adam Larsson · Tip-in, 0.04 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. BOS Ryan Spooner scored
- 2. NJD Lee Stempniak stopped
- 3. BOS Max Talbot stopped
- 4. NJD Kyle Palmieri stopped
- 5. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 6. NJD Michael Cammalleri stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:06BOSZdeno Chara: Interference2 min
- P1 15:51BOSDavid Krejci: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:35BOSLandon Ferraro: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:35BOSLandon Ferraro: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:35NJDKyle Palmieri: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:35NJDKyle Palmieri: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:00NJDJohn Moore: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestKennedy – Josefson – Kalinin6:35
xG 0.30–0.10 (76%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Zajac – Tlusty – Palmieri11:08
xG 0.39–0.41 (49%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Ruutu – Tootoo – Gionta11:41
xG 0.10–0.28 (27%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Stempniak – Henrique12:34
xG 0.28–0.80 (26%)attempts 14–18goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Greene – Severson2:24
xG 0.03–0.04 (44%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Moore – Severson15:25
xG 0.31–0.38 (45%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Greene – Larsson21:42
xG 0.57–0.74 (43%)attempts 18–20goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Krejci – Beleskey15:56
xG 0.69–0.22 (76%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Ferraro9:31
xG 0.75–0.31 (70%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Hayes – Spooner – Vatrano12:38
xG 0.16–0.09 (65%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Talbot – Randell – Connolly2:55
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McQuaid16:19
xG 1.15–0.29 (80%)attempts 28–13goals 1–1
- Seidenberg – Miller15:06
xG 0.40–0.33 (55%)attempts 11–20goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug16:13
xG 0.40–0.51 (44%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).