Tue, Dec 22, 2015·Madison Square Garden, New York
Anaheim Ducks 2, New York Rangers 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 18 | 05 | 16 | 00 | 219 |
| NYR | 15 | 05 | 110 | 12 | 322 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:16ANACorey PerryAssists: Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 17:50NYRDerick BrassardUnassisted · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P3 2:44NYRDerick BrassardAssists: Mats Zuccarello · Slap, 0.19 xG1–2
- P3 17:06ANARickard RakellAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Cam Fowler · Slap, 0.08 xG2–2
- OT 2:37NYRMats ZuccarelloPPGWGAssists: Dan Boyle, Derick Brassard · Slap, 0.05 xG2–3
Penalties (13)
- P1 5:35ANAPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:35NYRTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:05NYRDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P1 12:43ANAMike Santorelli: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:44ANARyan Kesler: Interference2 min
- P2 6:48ANARyan Kesler: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:48NYRJ.T. Miller: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:22ANAKevin Bieksa: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:49NYRDylan McIlrath: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:33NYRKevin Hayes: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:05NYRChris Summers: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 14:20ANARyan Kesler: Interference2 min
- OT 1:07ANACam Fowler: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayes won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Rakell11:34
xG 0.54–0.13 (81%)attempts 11–5goals 2–0
- Horcoff – Maroon – Silfverberg3:25
xG 0.13–0.04 (75%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kesler – Santorelli – Sekac4:36
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Horcoff – Kesler – Silfverberg2:20
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Fowler13:03
xG 0.56–0.34 (62%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Stoner – Vatanen7:12
xG 0.38–0.22 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Vatanen – Fowler2:03
xG 0.08–0.04 (67%)attempts 1–3goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestLindberg – Hayes – Miller6:14
xG 0.23–0.06 (79%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Moore – Glass – Etem7:04
xG 0.27–0.13 (66%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Brassard – Kreider – Zuccarello9:31
xG 0.40–0.40 (50%)attempts 6–10goals 2–0
- Nash – Stepan – Fast8:16
xG 0.03–0.24 (12%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – McIlrath11:26
xG 0.47–0.23 (67%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Boyle – Summers10:13
xG 0.18–0.33 (36%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Staal – McDonagh10:37
xG 0.08–0.51 (14%)attempts 5–9goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).