Fri, Jan 8, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 4, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 26 | 114 | 431 |
| NJD | 07 | 19 | 04 | 120 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:02BOSFrank VatranoAssists: Colin Miller · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 4:49BOSRyan SpoonerGWGAssists: Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 11:57NJDBobby FarnhamAssists: Stephen Gionta, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 18:35BOSJimmy HayesPPAssists: Zdeno Chara, Matt Beleskey · Tip-in, 0.21 xG3–1
- P3 6:33BOSColin MillerAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Ryan Spooner · Slap, 0.03 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 9:39NJDJordin Tootoo: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:39BOSZac Rinaldo: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:55NJDJim O'Brien: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 11:55BOSFrank Vatrano: Elbowing2 min
- P1 15:35NJDAndy Greene: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:21BOSZdeno Chara: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:54BOSMatt Beleskey: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:50NJDPaul Thompson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:05NJDSergey Kalinin: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Bergeron – Pastrnak12:29
xG 0.59–0.17 (77%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Talbot – Rinaldo – Ferraro6:26
xG 0.34–0.10 (77%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Hayes – Vatrano – Kemppainen9:53
xG 0.43–0.21 (67%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Beleskey – Spooner – Connolly10:18
xG 0.31–0.33 (49%)attempts 13–9goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Miller12:00
xG 0.48–0.11 (81%)attempts 8–2goals 2–0
- Miller – Krug13:23
xG 0.63–0.31 (67%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Chara – Trotman14:25
xG 0.66–0.60 (53%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Palmieri – Matteau4:07
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Henrique – Kalinin6:08
xG 0.41–0.27 (60%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Thompson – Kalinin2:34
xG 0.14–0.02 (89%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Zajac – Palmieri – Kalinin3:02
xG 0.04–0.01 (75%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMerrill – Larsson3:20
xG 0.17–0.05 (77%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
- Greene – Severson5:06
xG 0.10–0.06 (63%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Greene – Larsson10:46
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).