Sat, Jan 9, 2016·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
St. Louis Blues 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 03 | 14 | 06 | 03 | 2 | 216 |
| LAK | 07 | 19 | 09 | 02 | 1 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:54LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Milan Lucic, Jake Muzzin · Backhand, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 12:33STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Jori Lehtera · Snap, 0.04 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. STL Alexander Steen scored
- 3. LAK Jeff Carter stopped
- 4. STL Vladimir Tarasenko stopped
- 5. LAK Marian Gaborik scored
- 6. STL Jori Lehtera stopped
- 7. LAK Tyler Toffoli stopped
- 8. STL Robby Fabbri stopped
- 9. LAK Tanner Pearson stopped
- 10. STL Kevin Shattenkirk stopped
- 11. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 12. STL Dmitrij Jaskin stopped
- 13. LAK Vincent Lecavalier stopped
- 14. STL Troy Brouwer scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 7:40STLAlexander Steen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 11:08STLRobert Bortuzzo: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:55LAKBrayden McNabb: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:46STLRobert Bortuzzo: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:20STLRobert Bortuzzo: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:20LAKLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:27STLDmitrij Jaskin: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:59LAKBrayden McNabb: Charging5 min
- P3 7:59LAKBrayden McNabb: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Steen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- Lehtera – Tarasenko – Fabbri8:39
xG 0.34–0.33 (51%)attempts 7–10goals 1–1
- Upshall – Brodziak – Reaves4:57
xG 0.18–0.32 (36%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Steen – Brouwer – Berglund8:43
xG 0.04–0.32 (12%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
- Backes – Paajarvi – Jaskin7:40
xG 0.01–0.45 (2%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Parayko2:24
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 1–0
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson9:03
xG 0.14–0.09 (60%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Parayko2:10
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Lucic – Toffoli10:03
xG 0.45–0.07 (87%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Gaborik – Carter – Pearson8:00
xG 0.39–0.05 (89%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Lecavalier – Nolan – Mersch4:07
xG 0.02–0.10 (20%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Lewis – King7:55
xG 0.19–0.39 (32%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Schenn2:55
xG 0.52–0.05 (90%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Martinez8:23
xG 0.43–0.02 (95%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Doughty – McNabb14:22
xG 0.50–0.22 (70%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).