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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 21, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Nashville Predators 4, Winnipeg Jets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 80% of the time.

WPG winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Enstrom, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 4:00Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 4:16Goal by Ehlers (Armia, Perreault)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  5. P1 5:15Shot by Fiala, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 5:42Shot by Neal, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 6:31Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  8. P1 7:38Shot by Ekholm, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  9. P1 8:18Shot by Little, saved by Rinne5v4
  10. P1 10:03Shot by Jackman, saved by Hellebuyck
  11. P1 10:49Shot by Salomaki, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 11:16Bass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Chiarot · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Weber, Bass, Josi

  13. P1 11:16Stuart: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Chiarot · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Weber, Bass, Josi

  14. P1 12:26Forsberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  15. P1 14:20Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne5v4
  16. P1 15:57Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 16:28Peluso: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Peluso, Cormier, Chiarot, Lipon · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm, Granberg, Forsberg

  18. P1 16:37Shot by Neal, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  19. P1 16:39Goal by Johansen (Neal, Ribeiro)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Ladd, Little, Trouba · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Johansen

  20. P1 18:23Shot by Forsberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P1 18:52Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 19:11Shot by Ekholm, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P1 19:31Shot by Smith, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P1 19:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P1 19:50Shot by Smith, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:15Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 3:05Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 3:16Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 4:16Shot by Armia, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 5:04Goal by Smith (Granberg, Ekholm)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  33. P2 5:53Shot by Enstrom, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 6:02Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 7:08Thorburn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Byfuglien, Armia, Trouba, Copp · NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  36. P2 7:54Shot by Johansen, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  37. P2 8:41Shot by Ellis, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  38. P2 9:32Shot by Thorburn, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 11:45Shot by Gaustad, saved by Hellebuyck
  40. P2 12:10Gaustad: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Trouba, Lipon · NSH Gaustad, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  41. P2 16:57Shot by Armia, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 17:04Shot by Stuart, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 18:58Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 19:30Shot by Weber, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 19:59Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:09Shot by Granberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  49. P3 1:22Shot by Fisher, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P3 1:33Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 2:35Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 4:19Perreault: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Fisher, Ekholm, Granberg, Salomaki, Fiala

  53. P3 4:24Shot by Johansen, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  54. P3 5:28Shot by Halischuk, saved by Rinne4v5
  55. P3 6:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  56. P3 6:25Shot by Ellis, saved by Hellebuyck
  57. P3 8:30Jackman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Perreault, Armia, Trouba, Ehlers · NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Nystrom, Bass, Ellis

  58. P3 8:53Shot by Ehlers, saved by Rinne5v4
  59. P3 9:14Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne5v4
  60. P3 9:21Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne5v4
  61. P3 11:10Shot by Smith, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P3 11:50Shot by Neal, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 13:01Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Hellebuyck
  64. P3 14:40Shot by Neal, saved by Hellebuyck
  65. P3 15:55Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  66. P3 18:08Goal by Neal (Johansen)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Perreault, Myers, Ehlers · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg

  67. P3 18:33Goal by Jarnkrok (Gaustad, Josi)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Perreault, Ehlers · NSH Fisher, Gaustad, Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok

  68. P3 19:27Shot by Stuart, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 19:50Shot by Chiarot, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final