Sat, Jan 23, 2016·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Boston Bruins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 013 | 210 | 06 | 04 | 0 | 233 |
| BOS | 011 | 29 | 08 | 06 | 2 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:32BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Ryan Spooner, Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 3:34BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–2
- P2 6:58CBJDalton ProutAssists: Kerby Rychel, William Karlsson · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 10:08CBJKerby RychelAssists: Justin Falk · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. BOS Ryan Spooner scored
- 2. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 3. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 4. CBJ Brandon Dubinsky stopped
- 5. BOS Torey Krug scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 15:40CBJJack Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:49BOSDavid Pastrnak: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:56CBJScott Hartnell: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 15:25BOSLoui Eriksson: Holding2 min
- P2 18:06CBJRyan Murray: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:46CBJGregory Campbell: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:40BOSKevan Miller: Holding2 min
- P3 19:54BOSDennis Seidenberg: Slashing2 min
- OT 2:17CBJScott Hartnell: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Campbell won the faceoff against Talbot
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Saad – Wennberg9:20
xG 0.65–0.09 (88%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Karlsson – Rychel8:43
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Dubinsky – Atkinson – Jenner11:32
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
- Campbell – Bourque – Calvert8:02
xG 0.14–0.49 (22%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Falk13:06
xG 0.88–0.31 (74%)attempts 15–9goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Prout10:16
xG 0.22–0.40 (36%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Murray – Jones15:44
xG 0.44–0.73 (38%)attempts 16–14goals 0–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Spooner11:14
xG 0.73–0.37 (66%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Beleskey – Hayes – Kemppainen8:01
xG 0.34–0.14 (71%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Krejci – Pastrnak12:31
xG 0.36–0.33 (52%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Talbot – Rinaldo – Ferraro7:09
xG 0.17–0.22 (44%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Krug9:02
xG 0.41–0.14 (74%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Seidenberg – Miller2:02
xG 0.09–0.01 (88%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Chara – Miller2:16
xG 0.09–0.01 (86%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).