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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 24, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 0, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 65% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Kreider, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 0:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 0:44Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 1:19Shot by Puempel, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 1:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 1:57Shot by Lindberg, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 3:03Shot by Wideman, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 4:11Shot by Kreider, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 4:18Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 4:56Shot by Pageau, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 5:10Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 8:18Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 9:41Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 11:22Shot by Prince, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 11:28Hayes: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Ryan, Cowen, McCormick, Prince, Ceci · NYR Boyle, Paille, Staal, Stalberg, Hayes

  17. P1 12:35Shot by Stone, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  18. P1 14:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 15:27Shot by Cowen, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 16:53Shot by Stone, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 16:57Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Chiasson, Lazar · NYR Girardi, Stalberg, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  22. P1 17:43Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson4v5
  23. P1 17:51Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson4v5
  24. P1 18:45Shot by Hayes, saved by Anderson4v5
  25. P1 19:05Shot by Klein, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 19:18Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 19:31Shot by Stepan, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 19:54Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:39Shot by Lazar, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 2:19Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 2:23Shot by Lindberg, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 4:28Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 5:41Shot by McCormick, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 6:33Ryan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Zibanejad · NYR Moore, Paille, Glass, Girardi, McDonagh

  37. P2 8:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson4v5
  38. P2 8:28Shot by Klein, saved by Anderson4v5
  39. P2 10:42Shot by Paille, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 13:12Shot by Prince, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 13:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 13:38Shot by Prince, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 14:30Shot by Lindberg, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 16:57Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 17:15Shot by Paille, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 17:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 18:47Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 19:40Goal by Ryan (Cowen, Hoffman)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Hoffman, Cowen, Zibanejad · NYR Klein, Staal, Stalberg, Brassard, Zuccarello

  49. P2 19:58Shot by McCormick, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 2:00Shot by Wideman, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 1:13Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 1:21Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 2:32Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 2:40Goal by Hoffman (Zibanejad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Zibanejad · NYR Moore, Paille, Glass, Girardi, McDonagh

  58. P3 3:29Shot by Prince, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 5:04Shot by Glass, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 5:13Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 5:35Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 6:17Shot by Puempel, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 6:23Shot by Pageau, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 6:38Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 8:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 8:31Zuccarello: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Karlsson, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Pageau, Zibanejad · NYR Boyle, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  67. P3 9:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  68. P3 11:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 13:15Shot by Boyle, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 14:33Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 16:35Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 16:37Borowiecki: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Pageau, Puempel · NYR Klein, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  73. P3 17:38Goal by Pageau, unassisted4v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chiasson, Cowen, Pageau, Ceci · NYR Boyle, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Hayes, Miller

  74. P3 18:29Shot by Miller, saved by Anderson4v5
  75. P3 18:38Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 18:56Shot by Girardi, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 19:27Shot by Lindberg, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 19:52Shot by Staal, saved by Anderson
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final