Tue, Jan 26, 2016·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 6, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 216 | 212 | 211 | 639 |
| BOS | 113 | 012 | 19 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:40BOSZach TrotmanAssists: David Krejci, Matt Beleskey · Snap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 7:54ANACorey PerryAssists: David Perron · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 14:27ANAShea TheodorePPAssists: Corey Perry, Sami Vatanen · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 11:06ANADavid PerronGWGAssists: Chris Stewart, Ryan Getzlaf · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–1
- P2 17:13ANAKevin BieksaAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Ryan Kesler · Snap, 0.03 xG4–1
- P3 2:04BOSZdeno CharaAssists: Ryan Spooner, Matt Beleskey · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–2
- P3 19:05ANARyan KeslerENAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–2
- P3 19:28ANAMike SantorelliAssists: Ryan Garbutt, Shea Theodore · Tip-in, 0.12 xG6–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 5:42BOSTorey Krug: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:42ANAChris Stewart: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:42ANADavid Perron: Roughing2 min
- P1 8:42BOSDavid Krejci: Holding2 min
- P1 12:35BOSPatrice Bergeron: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 17:21ANASimon Despres: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:52ANAHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P2 12:12BOSZach Trotman: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:17ANAPatrick Maroon: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:17BOSZdeno Chara: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:20ANAMike Santorelli: Holding2 min
- P3 14:41BOSZach Trotman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Stewart – Perron6:06
xG 0.54–0.07 (89%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Perry – Maroon – Rakell10:14
xG 0.69–0.26 (72%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Thompson – Santorelli – Garbutt6:16
xG 0.25–0.03 (89%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg7:35
xG 0.31–0.27 (53%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm10:19
xG 0.64–0.21 (75%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Theodore7:41
xG 0.79–0.58 (58%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Despres – Vatanen10:50
xG 0.54–0.36 (60%)attempts 11–15goals 2–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Krejci – Beleskey4:01
xG 0.22–0.09 (72%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Krejci – Spooner6:33
xG 0.13–0.18 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Beleskey – Pastrnak – Kemppainen4:59
xG 0.29–0.43 (40%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Spooner – Pastrnak – Kemppainen2:02
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Trotman8:16
xG 0.29–0.11 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Seidenberg – Trotman3:09
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Krug9:13
xG 0.42–0.47 (47%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).