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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 2, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Montréal Canadiens 2, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 79% of the time.

PHI winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Medvedev, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason
  5. P1 4:14Beaulieu: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gagner, Simmonds, Read, Couturier, Gostisbehere · MTL Fleischmann, Subban, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu

  6. P1 4:50Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Condon5v4
  7. P1 5:14Shot by Voracek, saved by Condon5v4
  8. P1 5:22Shot by Streit, saved by Condon5v4
  9. P1 5:47Shot by Medvedev, saved by Condon5v4
  10. P1 6:11Goal by Simmonds (Schenn, Voracek)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · MTL Gilbert, Petry, Smith-Pelly, Flynn

  11. P1 6:45Shot by Barberio, saved by Mason
  12. P1 6:42Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason
  13. P1 7:17Weise: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gudas, Laughton, Medvedev · MTL Gilbert, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Weise, Barberio

  14. P1 7:17White: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gudas, Laughton, Medvedev · MTL Gilbert, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Weise, Barberio

  15. P1 7:30Shot by Gudas, saved by Condon4v4
  16. P1 7:43Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mason4v4
  17. P1 10:44Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Condon
  18. P1 11:35Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Mason
  19. P1 12:11Shot by Desharnais, saved by Mason
  20. P1 12:09Shot by Weise, saved by Mason
  21. P1 12:18Shot by Weise, saved by Mason
  22. P1 12:36Shot by Barberio, saved by Mason
  23. P1 12:42Shot by Gagner, saved by Condon
  24. P1 15:20Pacioretty: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gagner, Schenn, Gudas, Couturier, Medvedev · MTL Desharnais, Petry, Pacioretty, Weise, Beaulieu

  25. P1 15:26Goal by Schenn (Voracek, Gostisbehere)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Mitchell, Subban

  26. P1 15:40Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mason
  27. P1 16:47VandeVelde: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gudas, Bellemare, Medvedev · MTL Fleischmann, Petry, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu

  28. P1 18:16Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Mason4v5
  29. P1 18:18Goal by Markov (Galchenyuk, Subban)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, White, Giroux, Del Zotto · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  30. P1 18:31Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Mason
  31. P1 19:07Shot by Subban, saved by Mason
  32. P1 19:56Shot by Voracek, saved by Condon
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 1:06Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason
  36. P2 1:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon
  37. P2 2:15Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Mason
  38. P2 2:30Goal by Petry (Beaulieu, Smith-Pelly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gudas, Read, Laughton, Raffl, Medvedev · MTL Mitchell, Petry, Smith-Pelly, Lessio, Beaulieu

  39. P2 4:03Barberio: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Couturier · MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Barberio, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  40. P2 4:27Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon5v4
  41. P2 4:43Shot by Giroux, saved by Condon5v4
  42. P2 5:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason5v4
  43. P2 6:49Shot by Bellemare, saved by Condon
  44. P2 7:58Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon
  45. P2 8:08Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Condon
  46. P2 9:26Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Condon
  47. P2 9:27Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Condon
  48. P2 11:07Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon
  49. P2 12:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Condon
  50. P2 12:39Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gagner, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gostisbehere · MTL Desharnais, Petry, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  51. P2 12:39Gostisbehere: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Gagner, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gostisbehere · MTL Desharnais, Petry, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  52. P2 12:49Shot by Desharnais, saved by Mason4v4
  53. P2 14:11Shot by Giroux, saved by Condon4v4
  54. P2 14:13Fleischmann: High sticking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Medvedev · MTL Fleischmann, Subban, Eller, Barberio

  55. P2 14:30Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon4v3
  56. P2 15:03Shot by Schenn, saved by Condon5v4
  57. P2 15:16Shot by Simmonds, saved by Condon5v4
  58. P2 17:23Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Condon
  59. P2 17:27Read: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Del Zotto, Read, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Raffl · MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Eller, Barberio, Smith-Pelly

  60. P2 18:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Condon4v5
  61. P2 18:11Shot by Giroux, saved by Condon4v5
  62. P2 19:12Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Mason4v5
  63. P2 19:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:24Shot by Gallagher, saved by Mason
  67. P3 0:53Voracek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gostisbehere · MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Subban, Eller, Smith-Pelly

  68. P3 1:49Shot by Subban, saved by Mason4v5
  69. P3 2:53Shot by Gallagher, saved by Mason4v5
  70. P3 3:31Shot by Subban, saved by Mason
  71. P3 3:54Shot by Schultz, saved by Condon
  72. P3 6:45Shot by Bellemare, saved by Condon
  73. P3 6:55Shot by Weise, saved by Mason
  74. P3 8:44Shot by Gudas, saved by Condon
  75. P3 10:37Shot by Gagner, saved by Condon
  76. P3 10:50Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Condon
  77. P3 11:56Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)+35 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gudas, Medvedev · MTL Fleischmann, Petry, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu

  78. P3 12:16Gudas: Clipping (5 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gudas, Bellemare, Medvedev · MTL Gilbert, Mitchell, Barberio, Lessio, Flynn

  79. P3 12:16Gudas: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gudas, Bellemare, Medvedev · MTL Gilbert, Mitchell, Barberio, Lessio, Flynn

  80. P3 12:45Shot by Subban, saved by Mason4v5
  81. P3 15:24Shot by Couturier, saved by Condon4v5
  82. P3 16:02Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mason4v5
  83. P3 16:13Shot by Subban, saved by Mason4v5
  84. P3 16:39Shot by Markov, saved by Mason4v5
  85. P3 18:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mason
  86. P3 19:17Goal by Read (Couturier, VandeVelde)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier · MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Galchenyuk

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final