Thu, Feb 11, 2016·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Anaheim Ducks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 19 | 17 | 110 | 01 | 0 | 327 |
| CBJ | 08 | 111 | 210 | 05 | 2 | 434 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:47ANADavid PerronAssists: Chris Stewart, Ryan Getzlaf · Snap, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 19:48ANAMike SantorelliAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, David Perron · Snap, 0.11 xG2–0
- P2 19:55CBJWilliam KarlssonAssists: Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.22 xG2–1
- P3 1:45ANARyan GarbuttAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Josh Manson · Snap, 0.02 xG3–1
- P3 6:03CBJBrandon SaadAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Cody Goloubef · Snap, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 14:57CBJBrandon DubinskyPPAssists: Nick Foligno, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.28 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson scored
- 2. ANA Jakob Silfverberg stopped
- 3. CBJ Alexander Wennberg scored
- 4. ANA Corey Perry stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:43ANADavid Perron: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:00ANARyan Kesler: Elbowing2 min
- P1 13:03CBJDalton Prout: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:36CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:00ANAChris Stewart: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:00CBJDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P3 13:22ANAJosh Manson: Holding2 min · PPG
- OT 3:42ANARickard Rakell: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Stewart – Perron6:28
xG 0.63–0.24 (72%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg12:27
xG 0.45–0.19 (71%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Thompson – Perron – Garbutt2:58
xG 0.04–0.02 (71%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Thompson – Santorelli – Garbutt4:31
xG 0.10–0.51 (16%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Fowler14:25
xG 0.48–0.10 (83%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Manson – Lindholm14:07
xG 0.78–1.10 (41%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Despres – Vatanen14:14
xG 0.26–0.85 (23%)attempts 11–19goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Saad – Wennberg9:53
xG 1.05–0.51 (67%)attempts 15–7goals 1–1
- Foligno – Calvert – Karlsson9:31
xG 0.23–0.17 (57%)attempts 4–5goals 1–1
- Campbell – Bourque – Rychel5:01
xG 0.04–0.01 (81%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Atkinson – Jenner12:01
xG 0.31–0.83 (27%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurray – Jones16:28
xG 1.38–0.41 (77%)attempts 21–8goals 0–1
- Johnson – Goloubef11:57
xG 0.97–0.43 (69%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Tyutin – Prout13:35
xG 0.51–0.74 (41%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).