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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 16, 2016·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Dallas Stars 1, St. Louis Blues 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 52% of the time.

STL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:42Stastny: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Brouwer, Stastny, Shattenkirk, Fabbri · DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Nemeth, Seguin

  4. P1 2:27Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  6. P1 5:04Gunnarsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Stastny, Gunnarsson, Parayko, Fabbri · DAL Fiddler, Goligoski, McKenzie, Klingberg, Faksa

  7. P1 6:29Shot by Demers, saved by Elliott4v5
  8. P1 6:44Brodziak: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Upshall, Bouwmeester, Brodziak, Shattenkirk · DAL Hemsky, Sharp, Demers, Roussel, Eakin

  9. P1 7:09Shot by Sharp, saved by Elliott4v5
  10. P1 7:56Shot by Benn, saved by Elliott4v5
  11. P1 10:19Fabbri: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Stastny, Bortuzzo, Edmundson, Fabbri · DAL Oduya, Fiddler, Goligoski, McKenzie, Faksa

  12. P1 12:04Shot by Steen, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  13. P1 17:30Shot by Edmundson, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:12Goal by Schwartz (Parayko, Gunnarsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: STL Gunnarsson, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Parayko · DAL Hemsky, Oduya, Demers, Faksa, Janmark

  17. P2 0:47Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P2 1:37Shot by Sharp, saved by Elliott
  19. P2 2:28Shot by Upshall, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P2 2:37Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Elliott
  21. P2 2:38Shot by Seguin, saved by Elliott
  22. P2 3:11Shot by Oduya, saved by Elliott
  23. P2 3:46Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P2 4:54Eakin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Stastny, Bortuzzo, Edmundson, Fabbri · DAL Sharp, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Nemeth

  25. P2 5:46Roussel: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Brouwer, Tarasenko, Parayko · DAL Oduya, Benn, Demers, Roussel

  26. P2 6:42Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehtonen5v3
  27. P2 7:34Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  28. P2 7:46Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 9:31Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 9:50Benn: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Stastny, Gunnarsson, Tarasenko, Parayko, Fabbri · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Benn, Faksa, Janmark

  31. P2 10:36Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  32. P2 14:54Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 14:55Demers: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · DAL Oduya, Benn, Demers, Seguin, Nichushkin

  34. P2 17:15Fabbri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Brouwer, Lehtera, Parayko, Fabbri · DAL Benn, Nemeth, Seguin, Klingberg, Nichushkin

  35. P2 17:23Shot by Klingberg, saved by Elliott4v5
  36. P2 19:33Shot by Hemsky, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 1:25Shot by Benn, saved by Elliott
  40. P3 1:43Shot by Eakin, saved by Elliott
  41. P3 1:45Lehtera: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Gunnarsson, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Parayko · DAL Sharp, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Nemeth

  42. P3 2:19Shot by Brouwer, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  43. P3 4:08Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P3 5:47Shot by McKenzie, saved by Elliott
  45. P3 5:48Shot by Faksa, saved by Elliott
  46. P3 6:51Shot by Benn, saved by Elliott
  47. P3 8:28Shot by Berglund, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P3 8:41Shot by Parayko, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P3 9:27Shot by Sharp, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 13:24Shot by Goligoski, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 13:26Goal by Janmark (Nichushkin, Goligoski)+36 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Klingberg, Janmark, Nichushkin

  52. P3 17:57Gunnarsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Brouwer, Stastny, Gunnarsson, Parayko, Fabbri · DAL Sharp, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg

  53. P3 17:55Shot by Sharp, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 19:45Demers: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Shattenkirk · DAL Sharp, Eaves, Benn, Demers, Seguin

  55. P3 0:00Period end
  56. OT 0:00Period start
  57. OT 1:05Shot by Steen, saved by Lehtonen4v3
  58. OT 1:06Shot by Stastny, saved by Lehtonen4v3
  59. OT 1:11Goal by Shattenkirk (Stastny, Steen)4v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Brouwer, Stastny, Shattenkirk · DAL Benn, Nemeth, Faksa

  60. OT 1:11Period end
  61. OT 1:11Final