Mon, Mar 7, 2016·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 1, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 110 | 06 | 122 |
| LAK | 011 | 210 | 38 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:39VANDan HamhuisAssists: Linden Vey, Daniel Sedin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 10:07LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Rob Scuderi, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 12:06LAKAnze KopitarPPGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Jake Muzzin · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 11:39LAKJeff CarterAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 12:18LAKVincent LecavalierAssists: Alec Martinez · Slap, 0.04 xG1–4
- P3 16:03LAKJeff CarterENAssists: Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.75 xG1–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 12:47LAKLuke Schenn: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:56LAKJake Muzzin: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:56VANAlexandre Burrows: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 4:59LAKBrayden McNabb: Interference2 min
- P2 10:51VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:24LAKTrevor Lewis: Elbowing2 min
- P2 17:03LAKBrayden McNabb: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:33VANRadim Vrbata: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 11:56LAKBrayden McNabb: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:56VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:49LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Vey – Etem10:09
xG 0.29–0.18 (62%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Granlund – Baertschi – Virtanen7:17
xG 0.50–0.40 (55%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Dorsett – Gaunce – Horvat5:32
xG 0.14–0.09 (62%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Burrows – McCann6:11
xG 0.13–0.32 (30%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Weber14:11
xG 0.59–0.52 (53%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
- Biega – Bartkowski12:37
xG 0.41–0.58 (42%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Hutton13:37
xG 0.28–0.64 (31%)attempts 7–14goals 0–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Lewis – King9:16
xG 0.41–0.25 (62%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Carter – Kopitar – Lucic10:59
xG 0.55–0.52 (51%)attempts 9–16goals 2–0
- Lecavalier – Toffoli – Pearson10:12
xG 0.34–0.38 (47%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- Versteeg – Clifford – Shore7:53
xG 0.15–0.33 (32%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – McNabb2:26
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Martinez10:29
xG 0.48–0.40 (54%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty16:21
xG 0.43–0.42 (51%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).