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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.

PHI winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  3. P1 3:40Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Raffl, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 4:24Dumoulin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · PIT Cullen, Daley, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl

  6. P1 4:41Shot by Voracek, saved by Fleury5v4
  7. P1 4:49Shot by Letang, saved by Mason5v4
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury5v4
  9. P1 7:26Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  10. P1 8:53Shot by Schenn, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 11:39Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  12. P1 11:48Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  13. P1 12:30Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  14. P1 12:30Schenn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  15. P1 13:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason4v5
  16. P1 15:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  17. P1 15:44Gudas: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Manning, Gudas, Read, Cousins · PIT Cullen, Daley, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl

  18. P1 17:42Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason4v5
  19. P1 18:03Rust: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · PIT Cullen, Letang, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Maatta

  20. P1 18:13Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:58Goal by Gudas, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · PIT Cullen, Fehr, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust

  24. P2 2:59Goal by Daley (Bonino, Fehr)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Bellemare · PIT Daley, Fehr, Bonino, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  25. P2 3:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  26. P2 4:56Shot by Maatta, saved by Mason
  27. P2 5:30Sundqvist: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Gagner, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · PIT Fehr, Letang, Maatta, Sundqvist, Sheary

  28. P2 6:20Shot by Schenn, saved by Fleury5v4
  29. P2 7:36Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  30. P2 9:47Shot by Cousins, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 10:10Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  32. P2 11:00Shot by Maatta, saved by Mason
  33. P2 11:36Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  34. P2 13:13Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  35. P2 13:36Shot by Maatta, saved by Mason
  36. P2 14:25Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  37. P2 15:25Shot by Maatta, saved by Mason
  38. P2 15:29Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  39. P2 16:56Goal by Hagelin (Bonino)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PHI White, Manning, Gudas, Laughton, Bellemare · PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz

  40. P2 17:56Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  41. P2 18:12Shot by Raffl, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 18:25Goal by Kunitz (Crosby, Hornqvist)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Gagner, Couturier, Raffl · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  43. P2 19:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 19:31Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:18Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  48. P3 2:28Shot by White, saved by Fleury
  49. P3 2:35Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  50. P3 4:32Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  51. P3 7:11Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  52. P3 7:13Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  53. P3 7:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Fleury
  54. P3 7:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 7:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  56. P3 9:03Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  57. P3 9:29Raffl: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Gagner, Couturier, Raffl · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  58. P3 10:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason4v5
  59. P3 10:37Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason4v5
  60. P3 15:00Shot by Cousins, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 16:26Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 18:22Goal by Letang (Kunitz, Crosby)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, White, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  63. P3 19:21Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final