Sat, Mar 19, 2016·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New Jersey Devils 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 011 | 29 | 110 | 330 |
| CBJ | 216 | 16 | 312 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:33CBJCam AtkinsonPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Boone Jenner · Snap, 0.39 xG0–1
- P1 14:56CBJSeth JonesAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Scott Hartnell · Slap, 0.02 xG0–2
- P2 2:50CBJBoone JennerAssists: Dalton Prout · Snap, 0.06 xG0–3
- P2 5:42NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Damon Severson, Travis Zajac · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 8:57NJDAdam HenriquePPAssists: Kyle Palmieri · Backhand, 0.23 xG2–3
- P3 0:49NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Reid Boucher, Travis Zajac · Snap, 0.19 xG3–3
- P3 1:23CBJOliver BjorkstrandGWGAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Matt Calvert · Snap, 0.19 xG3–4
- P3 1:34CBJWilliam KarlssonAssists: Gregory Campbell, Michael Chaput · Snap, 0.42 xG3–5
- P3 6:38CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Matt Calvert · Snap, 0.09 xG3–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:38NJDAdam Larsson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:48CBJScott Hartnell: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:24CBJDalton Prout: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:33CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:20NJDSergey Kalinin: Holding2 min
- P3 7:00CBJRyan Murray: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:13NJDDamon Severson: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Zajac
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestKennedy – Henrique – Smith-Pelly11:05
xG 1.11–0.76 (59%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Sislo – Blandisi – Kalinin9:16
xG 0.55–0.51 (52%)attempts 10–11goals 0–2
- Zajac – Palmieri – Boucher7:53
xG 0.44–0.55 (45%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Ruutu – Gionta – Farnham7:56
xG 0.24–1.43 (14%)attempts 8–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Larsson11:22
xG 1.07–0.66 (62%)attempts 8–13goals 1–2
- Merrill – Larsson2:48
xG 0.22–0.27 (45%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Helgeson – Severson13:40
xG 0.85–1.39 (38%)attempts 18–18goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCampbell – Chaput – Karlsson6:56
xG 1.12–0.26 (81%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Calvert – Bjorkstrand – Wennberg9:21
xG 0.99–0.29 (77%)attempts 14–7goals 2–0
- Hartnell – Dubinsky – Foligno11:17
xG 0.67–0.65 (51%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Atkinson – Jenner – Saad11:19
xG 0.60–1.04 (36%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Goloubef11:16
xG 1.52–0.47 (76%)attempts 16–15goals 3–0
- Savard – Jones15:19
xG 1.53–0.83 (65%)attempts 20–15goals 1–1
- Prout – Murray14:59
xG 0.65–1.21 (35%)attempts 18–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).