Tue, Mar 22, 2016·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 18 | 09 | 112 | 04 | 0 | 233 |
| CBJ | 015 | 016 | 214 | 08 | 1 | 353 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:42PHIClaude GirouxAssists: Brayden Schenn, Nick Schultz · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P3 11:54PHIRyan WhitePPAssists: Brayden Schenn, Sean Couturier · Snap, 0.46 xG2–0
- P3 18:56CBJBoone JennerSHAssists: Seth Jones, Brandon Saad · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 19:52CBJCam AtkinsonAssists: Scott Hartnell, Brandon Dubinsky · Snap, 0.42 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Cam Atkinson stopped
- 2. PHI Nick Cousins stopped
- 3. CBJ Alexander Wennberg stopped
- 4. PHI Sam Gagner stopped
- 5. CBJ Brandon Dubinsky stopped
- 6. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 7. CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand stopped
- 8. PHI Brayden Schenn stopped
- 9. CBJ Boone Jenner scored
- 10. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 12:05PHIShayne Gostisbehere: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:47PHIMichael Raffl: Holding2 min
- P2 3:26PHIRyan White: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:26CBJJared Boll: Interference5 min
- P2 3:26CBJJared Boll: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 18:50PHIBrandon Manning: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:44CBJBoone Jenner: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 13:46CBJGregory Campbell: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:27CBJRyan Murray: Slashing2 min
- OT 1:00PHISean Couturier: Hooking2 min
- OT 3:46CBJSeth Jones: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Simmonds – Schenn9:28
xG 0.50–0.34 (59%)attempts 18–6goals 1–0
- Voracek – Read – Cousins6:17
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
- Gagner – Couturier – Raffl10:30
xG 0.19–0.25 (43%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- White – Laughton – Bellemare7:07
xG 0.23–0.44 (34%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStreit – Schultz10:53
xG 0.36–0.13 (74%)attempts 15–7goals 1–0
- MacDonald – Gostisbehere12:16
xG 0.21–0.44 (33%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Manning – Gudas13:17
xG 0.62–0.87 (42%)attempts 12–22goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCampbell – Chaput – Saad2:29
xG 0.33–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Jenner – Saad – Bjorkstrand9:12
xG 0.26–0.21 (55%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Karlsson – Wennberg7:23
xG 0.36–0.43 (46%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Dubinsky – Calvert – Atkinson10:36
xG 0.38–0.50 (43%)attempts 11–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestProut – Savard13:43
xG 0.57–0.29 (66%)attempts 23–9goals 0–0
- Tyutin – Goloubef10:31
xG 0.48–0.45 (51%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Murray – Jones14:46
xG 0.41–0.62 (40%)attempts 12–21goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).