Sat, Mar 26, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Winnipeg Jets 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.
74%
13%
BUF winsWPG wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wheeler–Scheifele–Ehlers | Stafford–Burmistrov–Petan | Thorburn–Halischuk–Lowry | Armia–Copp–Dano | Stafford–Burmistrov–Armia | Copp–Dano–Petan | Byfuglien–Chiarot | Stuart–Trouba | Postma–Melchiori | Byfuglien–Trouba | Postma–Chiarot | Stuart–Chiarot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girgensons–Reinhart–Eichel | 1:360.06–0.00 | 4:340.43–0.02 | 1:460.47–0.00 | 5:340.43–0.02 | 1:330.47–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:050.07–0.00 | |||||
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 6:210.33–0.20 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.10 | 4:430.25–0.18 | 2:170.02–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.13 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.00 | ||||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Deslauriers | 0:320.07–0.00 | 1:140.01–0.02 | 1:130.01–0.00 | 3:140.07–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.06 | 5:190.16–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.06 | ||||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Fasching | 2:240.05–0.03 | 2:440.00–0.01 | 1:480.03–0.00 | 1:280.01–0.04 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||
| Legwand–Moulson–Fasching | 1:040.03–0.00 | 0:360.24–0.00 | 2:100.01–0.00 | 1:360.24–0.00 | 2:100.01–0.01 | |||||||
| Legwand–Moulson–Deslauriers | 1:200.07–0.06 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 0:360.07–0.04 | 1:280.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Foligno–Larsson–Fasching | 1:100.00–0.10 | 1:030.00–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Foligno–Reinhart–Eichel | ||||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Kane–Eichel | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Moulson–O'Reilly–Deslauriers | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Bogosian–McCabe | 0:560.00–0.16 | 5:210.01–0.04 | 5:240.19–0.07 | 2:320.01–0.20 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 1:270.02–0.06 | 4:400.20–0.11 | 7:210.05–0.14 | 4:150.01–0.27 | 1:030.03–0.00 | ||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 10:000.45–0.28 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.06 | 7:560.27–0.32 | 2:370.10–0.00 | 3:340.00–0.02 | 1:170.00–0.00 | ||||
| Pysyk–Nelson | 3:360.06–0.00 | 2:180.32–0.01 | 2:000.48–0.11 | 2:350.07–0.04 | 1:140.00–0.45 | 4:270.36–0.12 | 4:530.53–0.45 | 2:020.00–0.00 | 1:110.14–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 1:010.03–0.03 | 0:370.01–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dustin ByfuglienWPG | 29 | 26:40 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob TroubaWPG | 28 | 23:31 | 0:50 | 2:16 | 1 | 6 |
 Ben ChiarotWPG | 28 | 23:22 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 0 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 24 | 23:06 | 0:58 | 2:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 26 | 22:11 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 23 | 21:41 | 0:57 | 1:23 | 7 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 23 | 20:38 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 25 | 20:08 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 22 | 19:09 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 22 | 19:05 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 6 | 0 |
 Blake WheelerWPG | 22 | 19:03 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Mark StuartWPG | 26 | 18:30 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 2 | 6 |
 Drew StaffordWPG | 22 | 17:55 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikolaj EhlersWPG | 20 | 17:44 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 5 | 0 |
 Alexander BurmistrovWPG | 24 | 17:33 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 21 | 16:33 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 4 | 1 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 19 | 16:12 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 18 | 15:59 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 19 | 15:31 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 21 | 15:12 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Nic PetanWPG | 19 | 15:12 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 17 | 15:00 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 5 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 19 | 14:28 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Julian MelchioriWPG | 18 | 13:53 | 0:46 | 1:46 | 0 | 3 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersBUF | 16 | 13:47 | 0:52 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Paul PostmaWPG | 17 | 13:39 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 0 | 3 |
 Adam LowryWPG | 18 | 13:07 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Joel ArmiaWPG | 18 | 12:35 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 0 | 1 |
 Chris ThorburnWPG | 18 | 12:08 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 1 | 7 |
 Hudson FaschingBUF | 17 | 12:02 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 7 | 0 |
 Andrew CoppWPG | 19 | 11:07 | 0:35 | 1:02 | 0 | 5 |
 Marko DanoWPG | 18 | 11:05 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 0 | 5 |
 Matt HalischukWPG | 15 | 10:39 | 0:43 | 1:00 | 1 | 5 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 15 | 10:01 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 David LegwandBUF | 13 | 8:53 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 3 | 0 |