Sun, Apr 3, 2016·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 4, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 08 | 221 | 217 | 446 |
| CHI | 219 | 412 | 03 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:14CHIArtem AnisimovPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 18:31CHIPatrick KaneUnassisted · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 0:54CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Artem Anisimov, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–3
- P2 2:00CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Marian Hossa, Andrew Ladd · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–4
- P2 5:17CHIArtemi PanarinGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Artem Anisimov · Slap, 0.13 xG0–5
- P2 14:16CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brent Seabrook · Slap, 0.14 xG0–6
- P2 19:44BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: David Krejci, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–6
- P2 19:55BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Adam McQuaid, Brad Marchand · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–6
- P3 2:39BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Loui Eriksson, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–6
- P3 9:51BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Torey Krug, Patrice Bergeron · Tip-in, 0.20 xG4–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:37BOSDavid Krejci: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 17:46BOSZdeno Chara: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 17:46CHIJonathan Toews: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 5:25CHIErik Gustafsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 8:02BOSSeth Griffith: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 12:33BOSDavid Pastrnak: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 6:56BOSFrank Vatrano: Embellishment2 min
- P3 6:56CHITeuvo Teravainen: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krug won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Bergeron – Marchand10:06
xG 0.83–0.44 (65%)attempts 19–9goals 2–1
- Stempniak – Spooner – Vatrano11:55
xG 0.36–0.25 (59%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Griffith – Acciari4:39
xG 0.08–0.02 (81%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Beleskey – Pastrnak12:54
xG 0.40–0.93 (30%)attempts 15–15goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Trotman11:45
xG 0.50–0.11 (82%)attempts 18–6goals 1–0
- McQuaid – Morrow2:26
xG 0.01–0.08 (16%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Morrow – Krug2:14
xG 0.06–0.15 (30%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Panarin11:44
xG 1.05–0.35 (75%)attempts 14–15goals 2–0
- Hossa – Ladd – Toews8:24
xG 0.74–0.61 (55%)attempts 13–11goals 1–2
- Fleischmann – Weise – Teravainen6:39
xG 0.08–0.08 (50%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Desjardins – Mashinter – Kruger9:09
xG 0.05–0.39 (10%)attempts 3–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeabrook – Svedberg13:56
xG 1.12–0.62 (64%)attempts 16–21goals 2–1
- Rozsival – Hjalmarsson4:39
xG 0.13–0.17 (44%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Seabrook – van Riemsdyk2:42
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).