Sat, Apr 9, 2016·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 38 | 05 | 112 | 01 | 426 |
| CBJ | 010 | 38 | 16 | 11 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:09CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Artemi Panarin, Dennis Rasmussen · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 11:25CHIArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Snap, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 14:06CHIArtemi PanarinUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 6:29CBJScott HartnellAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Brandon Saad · Backhand, 0.19 xG3–1
- P2 12:55CBJMatt CalvertUnassisted · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–2
- P2 17:00CBJBrandon SaadAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Scott Hartnell · Snap, 0.17 xG3–3
- P3 3:09CBJAlexander WennbergAssists: Scott Hartnell, Ryan Murray · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 9:49CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Marcus Kruger, Brent Seabrook · Slap, 0.12 xG4–4
- OT 2:28CBJScott HartnellPPGWGAssists: Cam Atkinson, Seth Jones · Tip-in, 0.24 xG4–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 11:12CBJNick Foligno: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:11CBJDavid Savard: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:50CHIBrent Seabrook: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:35CBJMatt Calvert: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:29CBJNick Foligno: Interference2 min
- P3 17:42CBJDavid Savard: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:42CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Misconduct10 min
- OT 1:34CHITeuvo Teravainen: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Rasmussen won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Weise – Teravainen8:31
xG 0.13–0.03 (79%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Kane – Kruger – Panarin2:55
xG 0.12–0.10 (54%)attempts 1–2goals 1–0
- Ladd – Desjardins – Panik11:04
xG 0.15–0.28 (35%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Fleischmann – Mashinter – Kruger7:06
xG 0.16–0.72 (18%)attempts 5–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – van Riemsdyk11:46
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – van Riemsdyk3:51
xG 0.19–0.02 (90%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Ehrhoff5:52
xG 0.29–0.25 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 1–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHartnell – Saad – Wennberg10:04
xG 0.98–0.04 (96%)attempts 9–2goals 3–0
- Dubinsky – Atkinson – Jenner11:28
xG 0.36–0.31 (54%)attempts 8–7goals 0–2
- Campbell – Bourque – Boll8:18
xG 0.05–0.08 (41%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
- Foligno – Calvert – Karlsson11:48
xG 0.21–0.28 (42%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Kukan14:17
xG 0.89–0.15 (85%)attempts 12–6goals 2–0
- Murray – Jones8:53
xG 0.59–0.31 (65%)attempts 9–7goals 0–2
- Falk – Prout12:55
xG 0.48–0.22 (69%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).