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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 15, 2016·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Anaheim Ducks 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 53% of the time.

PIT winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Shot by Cogliano, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Vatanen, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 2:09Shot by Cogliano, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 2:40Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 3:17Shot by Bieksa, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 3:54Shot by Sheary, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 4:00Shot by Letang, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 4:15Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 4:58Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 5:10Shot by Bonino, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 5:21Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 6:19Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 6:42Shot by Holzer, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 7:42Shot by Wagner, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 7:46Shot by Wagner, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 8:47Shot by Bonino, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 9:47Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 9:50Shot by Manson, saved by Fleury
  20. P1 10:14Shot by Kessel, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 10:57Shot by Sorensen, saved by Fleury
  22. P1 11:46Goal by Cole (Daley, Malkin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Malkin, Cole, Kuhnhackl · ANA Boll, Fowler, Wagner, Garbutt, Manson

  23. P1 12:06Shot by Letang, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 12:37Shot by Letang, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 12:38Shot by Letang, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 12:42Shot by Maatta, saved by Bernier
  27. P1 12:52Maatta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kessel, Bonino, Hagelin, Maatta · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Holzer, Silfverberg, Larsson

  28. P1 12:56Cole: Delaying game (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Cole · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Silfverberg, Vatanen, Fowler

  29. P1 13:17Shot by Fowler, saved by Fleury3v5
  30. P1 13:29Shot by Vatanen, saved by Fleury3v5
  31. P1 14:13Goal by Fowler (Getzlaf, Kesler)3v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr · ANA Getzlaf, Kesler, Perry, Vatanen, Fowler

  32. P1 16:42Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  33. P1 16:47Shot by Cole, saved by Bernier
  34. P1 16:56Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  35. P1 17:10Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  36. P1 17:12Ritchie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Wilson · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  37. P1 17:15Shot by Malkin, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P1 17:16Shot by Bonino, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P1 19:02Shot by Daley, saved by Bernier5v4
  40. P1 19:14Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bernier
  41. P1 19:46Shot by Fehr, saved by Bernier
  42. P1 0:00Period end
  43. P2 0:00Period start
  44. P2 0:46Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 2:03Goal by Sheary (Kunitz, Cullen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Kunitz, Maatta, Sheary · ANA Vermette, Holzer, Fowler, Garbutt, Sorensen

  46. P2 4:49Ritchie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Kunitz, Schultz, Sheary · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  47. P2 5:12Shot by Kunitz, saved by Bernier5v4
  48. P2 5:37Shot by Bonino, saved by Bernier5v4
  49. P2 5:46Shot by Malkin, saved by Bernier5v4
  50. P2 7:29Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 7:30Getzlaf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Letang, Sestito, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Holzer, Manson, Ritchie

  52. P2 7:36Shot by Letang, saved by Bernier5v4
  53. P2 7:49Shot by Malkin, saved by Bernier5v4
  54. P2 7:58Goal by Kessel (Hornqvist)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, Bonino · ANA Kesler, Silfverberg, Fowler, Manson

  55. P2 9:28Shot by Daley, saved by Bernier
  56. P2 9:43Shot by Sheary, saved by Bernier
  57. P2 10:26Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury
  58. P2 10:27Goal by Perry (Getzlaf)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  59. P2 10:42Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Fleury
  60. P2 17:39Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Bernier
  61. P2 17:47Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Cole, Schultz, Kuhnhackl · ANA Bieksa, Raymond, Boll, Wagner, Larsson

  62. P2 16:39Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier
  63. P2 16:38Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier
  64. P2 18:03Shot by Vatanen, saved by Fleury4v5
  65. P2 18:41Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury4v5
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:36Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 0:37Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 1:43Shot by Bonino, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 1:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 2:05Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  73. P3 3:00Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 4:11Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 4:30Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 4:35Shot by Perry, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 5:06Shot by Ritchie, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 6:32Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 6:35Shot by Raymond, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 6:41Shot by Fowler, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 8:05Shot by Bieksa, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 8:07Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Fleury
  83. P3 8:34Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  84. P3 10:10Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  85. P3 12:27Shot by Raymond, saved by Fleury
  86. P3 13:33Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  87. P3 14:41Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier
  88. P3 15:40Shot by Kessel, saved by Bernier
  89. P3 16:02Shot by Cogliano, saved by Fleury
  90. P3 16:41Shot by Schultz, saved by Bernier
  91. P3 17:32Shot by Bieksa, saved by Fleury
  92. P3 18:50Shot by Vermette, saved by Fleury
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final