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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 17, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 1, Detroit Red Wings 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Kelly, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 2:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 3:00Shot by Smith, saved by Hammond
  5. P1 3:42Shot by Marchenko, saved by Hammond
  6. P1 4:23Green: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser · OTT Methot, Ryan, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson

  7. P1 4:48Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek4v5
  8. P1 5:29Shot by Turris, saved by Mrazek4v5
  9. P1 5:36Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek4v5
  10. P1 5:48Phaneuf: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Sheahan, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Puempel, Ceci

  11. P1 5:48Ericsson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Sheahan, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Smith, Puempel, Ceci

  12. P1 5:59Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek4v5
  13. P1 6:48Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond
  14. P1 7:41Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hammond
  15. P1 8:32Shot by Kelly, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 11:43Goal by Green (Vanek, Nyquist)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser · OTT Neil, Kelly, Methot, Puempel, Ceci

  17. P1 12:04Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Hammond
  18. P1 12:09Shot by Miller, saved by Hammond
  19. P1 12:47Shot by Sheahan, saved by Hammond
  20. P1 13:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek
  21. P1 13:45Shot by Ericsson, saved by Hammond
  22. P1 14:15Goal by Helm (Zetterberg, Ouellet)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Helm, Smith, Nyquist, Ouellet · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  23. P1 15:42Shot by Helm, saved by Hammond
  24. P1 15:42Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Nyquist, Marchenko · OTT Methot, Ryan, Brassard, Smith, Karlsson

  25. P1 16:43Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond5v4
  26. P1 17:17Goal by Green (Tatar, Vanek)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Tatar · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Turris, Ceci

  27. P1 17:25Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 19:23Larkin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, DeKeyser, Larkin · OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Smith, Pageau, Ceci

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:04Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek4v5
  32. P2 1:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 3:27Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Vanek, Nyquist, Marchenko, Athanasiou · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone

  34. P2 4:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Mrazek5v4
  35. P2 6:29Shot by Methot, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 7:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 8:19Hoffman: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Nyquist, Marchenko · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Karlsson, Hoffman, Pageau

  38. P2 8:27Shot by Smith, saved by Hammond5v4
  39. P2 8:51Goal by Dzingel (Karlsson)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan, Larkin · OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  40. P2 10:29Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond
  41. P2 11:05Shot by Ouellet, saved by Hammond
  42. P2 11:27Shot by Methot, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 12:35Shot by Smith, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 12:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 12:51Shot by Pageau, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 13:00Shot by Pageau, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 13:23Shot by Nielsen, saved by Hammond
  48. P2 14:04Shot by Miller, saved by Hammond
  49. P2 15:14Shot by Ceci, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 16:30Shot by Kelly, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 18:35Shot by Turris, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 19:15Green: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Sheahan, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Turris, Karlsson, Dzingel

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:28Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 1:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Hammond
  57. P3 2:29Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond
  58. P3 4:27Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Hammond
  59. P3 5:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 6:18Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Hammond
  61. P3 7:29Sheahan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Sheahan, DeKeyser · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  62. P3 7:29Borowiecki: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Sheahan, DeKeyser · OTT Brassard, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Ceci

  63. P3 8:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek4v4
  64. P3 10:23Shot by Turris, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 10:58Shot by Kelly, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 11:27Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Sheahan, DeKeyser · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Smith, Karlsson

  67. P3 11:27Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Sheahan, DeKeyser · OTT Neil, Kelly, Phaneuf, Smith, Karlsson

  68. P3 12:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 12:55Shot by Methot, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 13:24Goal by Green (Glendening, Sheahan)+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  71. P3 13:24Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  72. P3 13:24Sheahan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser · OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Hoffman, Wideman, Stone

  73. P3 16:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Hammond
  74. P3 17:04Goal by Helm (Vanek)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Helm, Nyquist, DeKeyser · OTT Pyatt, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel

  75. P3 18:19Shot by Turris, saved by Mrazek
  76. P3 19:44Shot by Puempel, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 16:59Methot: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Tatar, DeKeyser, Larkin · OTT Methot, Pyatt, Turris, Wideman, Dzingel

  79. P3 0:00Final