Sat, Oct 22, 2016·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 07 | 29 | 19 | 00 | 0 | 325 |
| LAK | 213 | 110 | 05 | 03 | 1 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:35LAKBrayden McNabbAssists: Dustin Brown, Nic Dowd · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 18:24LAKTanner PearsonPPAssists: Dustin Brown, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–2
- P2 0:33LAKDustin BrownSHAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.31 xG0–3
- P2 8:40VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Jannik Hansen, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 15:57VANHenrik SedinPPAssists: Philip Larsen, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–3
- P3 19:25VANAlexander EdlerPPAssists: Philip Larsen, Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.02 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. VAN Sven Baertschi stopped
- 3. LAK Tanner Pearson scored
- 4. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 5. LAK Devin Setoguchi stopped
- 6. VAN Brandon Sutter stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 5:06LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:06VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:06LAKAndy Andreoff: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:52VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:11VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:31LAKBrayden McNabb: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:51LAKJake Muzzin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 7:49LAKDerek Forbort: Interference2 min
- P3 14:14LAKNicholas Shore: Boarding2 min
- P3 18:12LAKBrayden McNabb: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- OT 3:44VANBen Hutton: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sutter won the faceoff against Carter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHansen – Sutter – Granlund8:28
xG 0.55–0.25 (68%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Baertschi9:17
xG 0.29–0.18 (62%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Horvat – Virtanen8:06
xG 0.12–0.11 (54%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Burrows – Dorsett – Gaunce3:54
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev9:50
xG 0.41–0.08 (83%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Hutton13:30
xG 0.48–0.27 (64%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Larsen3:47
xG 0.17–0.08 (67%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Lewis – Clifford – Shore7:53
xG 0.18–0.18 (49%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Dowd – Andreoff7:56
xG 0.19–0.30 (39%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Kopitar – King – Toffoli12:13
xG 0.22–0.40 (36%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Carter – Setoguchi – Pearson10:46
xG 0.29–0.56 (34%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – McNabb17:43
xG 0.71–0.40 (64%)attempts 19–10goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Martinez14:23
xG 0.51–0.28 (64%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty3:16
xG 0.06–0.20 (23%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).