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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 6, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Winnipeg Jets 2, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 79% of the time.

NYR winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Scheifele, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Kreider, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Hayes, saved by Hellebuyck
  5. P1 2:12Goal by Hayes (Klein, Skjei)6v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, Pirri, Hayes, Miller, Skjei · WPG Chiarot, Melchiori, Lowry, Dano, Tanev

  6. P1 3:27Shot by Nash, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 3:35Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 3:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Hellebuyck
  9. P1 6:14Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:41Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Hellebuyck
  11. P1 10:24Shot by Melchiori, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 10:45Goal by Laine (Chiarot, Scheifele)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pirri, Fast, Skjei, Buchnevich · WPG Postma, Chiarot, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine

  13. P1 11:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Hellebuyck
  14. P1 12:12Shot by Thorburn, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 15:04Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Hellebuyck
  16. P1 15:40Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 15:57Shot by Grabner, saved by Hellebuyck
  18. P1 16:53Shot by Laine, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 18:41Shot by Kreider, saved by Hellebuyck
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:56Shot by Postma, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P2 2:35Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 3:28Shot by Holden, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P2 6:51Shot by Petan, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 8:08Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 10:02Goal by Zuccarello (Kreider)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Pirri, Zuccarello · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Petan, Morrissey, Connor

  28. P2 11:15Shot by Klein, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 11:33Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hellebuyck
  30. P2 12:02Shot by Postma, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 12:02Goal by Scheifele (Postma, Ehlers)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Skjei · WPG Enstrom, Postma, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine

  32. P2 13:01Goal by Miller (Holden)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Grabner, McDonagh, Holden, Hayes, Miller · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Petan, Morrissey, Connor

  33. P2 13:46Shot by Chiarot, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 15:12Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 16:24Goal by Fast (Klein, Pirri)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pirri, Fast, Skjei, Buchnevich · WPG Enstrom, Postma, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine

  36. P2 17:05Goal by Buchnevich (Pirri, Clendening)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Pirri, Fast, Clendening, Buchnevich · WPG Thorburn, Chiarot, Burmistrov, Melchiori, Copp

  37. P2 18:15Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 18:51Shot by Vesey, saved by Hutchinson
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 6:26Zuccarello: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zuccarello, Clendening, Zibanejad · WPG Enstrom, Postma, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine

  42. P3 7:22Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  43. P3 7:24Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  44. P3 7:53Shot by Ehlers, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  45. P3 9:01Shot by Chiarot, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 12:46Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  47. P3 12:48Nash: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Hayes, Clendening, Miller · WPG Byfuglien, Wheeler, Postma, Scheifele, Ehlers, Laine

  48. P3 13:17Shot by Wheeler, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  49. P3 14:43Shot by Petan, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  50. P3 15:18Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P3 15:22Shot by Petan, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Final