Sun, Nov 13, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Los Angeles Kings 2, Winnipeg Jets 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 16 | 06 | 115 | 02 | 1 | 229 |
| WPG | 213 | 08 | 08 | 00 | 2 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:38LAKTanner PearsonAssists: Teddy Purcell, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 14:04WPGAdam LowryPPAssists: Nic Petan, Toby Enstrom · Wrist, 0.45 xG1–1
- P1 17:55WPGMarko DanoPPAssists: Toby Enstrom, Adam Lowry · Deflected, 0.15 xG1–2
- P3 12:58LAKTom GilbertAssists: Jordan Nolan · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 2. WPG Blake Wheeler stopped
- 3. LAK Dwight King scored
- 4. WPG Patrik Laine scored
- 5. LAK Nic Dowd stopped
- 6. WPG Mark Scheifele scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 13:00LAKKyle Clifford: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P2 7:34LAKAlec Martinez: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:10WPGBen Chiarot: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:54WPGChris Thorburn: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:54LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:22WPGBrandon Tanev: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:39WPGAdam Lowry: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:18LAKJeff Carter: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:32WPGMark Scheifele: Tripping2 min
- OT 4:23WPGPatrik Laine: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Dowd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Pearson2:56
xG 0.19–0.07 (72%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Carter – King – Toffoli6:22
xG 0.06–0.03 (68%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Lewis – Purcell – King4:10
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Brown – Setoguchi – Dowd11:06
xG 0.20–0.17 (54%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gilbert – Gravel10:00
xG 0.38–0.36 (51%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Martinez14:11
xG 0.21–0.26 (45%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Doughty – Forbort16:51
xG 0.27–0.90 (23%)attempts 11–19goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Petan – Ehlers10:41
xG 0.43–0.08 (84%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Howden – Lowry – Tanev7:48
xG 0.23–0.18 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Copp – Connor3:44
xG 0.15–0.22 (41%)attempts 3–10goals 0–1
- Scheifele – Dano – Laine11:40
xG 0.08–0.26 (23%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Trouba14:38
xG 0.53–0.26 (67%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Postma – Chiarot7:06
xG 0.31–0.09 (77%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Morrissey16:21
xG 0.53–0.41 (57%)attempts 15–21goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).