Tue, Nov 15, 2016·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 7, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 110 | 28 | 47 | 725 |
| VAN | 017 | 18 | 113 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:42NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Mats Zuccarello · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 9:08NYRKevin HayesAssists: Jesper Fast, Brady Skjei · Slap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 14:38NYRBrandon PirriPPGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Ryan McDonagh · Snap, 0.27 xG3–0
- P2 19:19VANBrandon SutterAssists: Daniel Sedin, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
- P3 1:49NYRKevin HayesAssists: Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–1
- P3 2:31NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Mika Zibanejad · Deflected, 0.11 xG5–1
- P3 13:26VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Derek Dorsett, Luca Sbisa · Deflected, 0.11 xG5–2
- P3 15:02NYRMats ZuccarelloAssists: Nick Holden, Kevin Klein · Wrist, 0.08 xG6–2
- P3 18:04NYRNick HoldenPPAssists: Kevin Klein, Oscar Lindberg · Slap, 0.03 xG7–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:58NYROscar Lindberg: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:10NYROscar Lindberg: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:22VANSven Baertschi: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:16NYRMarc Staal: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:27VANLuca Sbisa: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 8:13NYRMichael Grabner: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:59VANNikita Tryamkin: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZuccarello – Zibanejad – Miller9:04
xG 0.49–0.16 (75%)attempts 9–7goals 3–0
- Nash – Grabner – Stepan7:01
xG 0.30–0.08 (79%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
- Hayes – Fast – Vesey11:04
xG 0.18–0.39 (32%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Pirri – Lindberg – Nieves9:11
xG 0.12–0.67 (15%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHolden – Skjei2:05
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Girardi – McDonagh14:39
xG 0.51–0.43 (54%)attempts 7–10goals 2–0
- Klein – Holden14:23
xG 0.42–0.51 (45%)attempts 8–15goals 2–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBurrows – Baertschi – Horvat10:43
xG 1.03–0.04 (96%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Dorsett – Granlund10:17
xG 0.51–0.33 (60%)attempts 12–5goals 1–2
- Skille – Chaput – Gaunce8:28
xG 0.29–0.28 (51%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Sutter11:49
xG 0.14–0.71 (16%)attempts 7–9goals 1–3
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher18:11
xG 0.52–0.25 (68%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Sbisa – Tryamkin11:59
xG 0.73–0.54 (58%)attempts 19–7goals 2–2
- Gudbranson – Hutton11:28
xG 0.49–0.46 (52%)attempts 10–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).