Sat, Nov 19, 2016·TD Garden, Boston
Winnipeg Jets 1, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 04 | 03 | 15 | 112 |
| BOS | 014 | 313 | 111 | 438 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:01BOSMatt BeleskeyAssists: Joe Morrow, Dominic Moore · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 11:37BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Zdeno Chara · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 17:00BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: David Krejci, Zdeno Chara · Slap, 0.17 xG0–3
- P3 1:41BOSTim SchallerAssists: Torey Krug, Austin Czarnik · Snap, 0.05 xG0–4
- P3 17:20WPGAdam LowryAssists: Patrik Laine, Toby Enstrom · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:13BOSDavid Krejci: Boarding2 min
- P1 10:03WPGDustin Byfuglien: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:30WPGBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:19BOSZdeno Chara: Interference2 min
- P2 15:03WPGMark Scheifele: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 15:42WPGJacob Trouba: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:42BOSDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:19WPGDustin Byfuglien: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:59BOSJohn-Michael Liles: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:27BOSTorey Krug: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Petan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Laine3:09
xG 0.25–0.17 (59%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Wheeler – Dano – Petan6:23
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Petan – Ehlers – Tanev2:07
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
- Lowry – Copp – Tanev4:49
xG 0.03–0.12 (22%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Trouba12:18
xG 0.47–0.37 (56%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Postma – Chiarot14:27
xG 0.12–0.59 (17%)attempts 5–16goals 0–1
- Byfuglien – Morrissey15:06
xG 0.14–0.63 (18%)attempts 7–16goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Nash7:44
xG 0.54–0.05 (91%)attempts 13–2goals 1–0
- Moore – Beleskey – Czarnik3:03
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 1–0
- Backes – Krejci – Spooner6:42
xG 0.29–0.05 (85%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hayes – Kuraly – Schaller2:59
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Carlo16:17
xG 1.09–0.41 (73%)attempts 22–9goals 1–1
- Liles – Morrow11:59
xG 0.28–0.03 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- McQuaid – Krug12:13
xG 0.38–0.29 (57%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).