Tue, Nov 29, 2016·United Center, Chicago
Florida Panthers 1, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 013 | 012 | 110 | 04 | 0 | 139 |
| CHI | 18 | 011 | 011 | 03 | 2 | 233 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:50CHIRichard PanikAssists: Dennis Rasmussen, Marcus Kruger · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–1
- P3 0:35FLAJaromir JagrPPAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 2. FLA Vincent Trocheck stopped
- 3. CHI Artemi Panarin scored
- 4. FLA Aleksander Barkov stopped
- 5. CHI Richard Panik scored
Penalties (5)
- P2 11:30FLAJason Demers: Interference2 min
- P2 14:45CHIRichard Panik: Holding2 min
- P2 19:08CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:57FLAJakub Kindl: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:40CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Marchessault – Barkov14:03
xG 0.54–0.26 (68%)attempts 16–11goals 0–1
- Bjugstad – Griffith – Malgin10:30
xG 0.44–0.40 (52%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Jokinen – Smith – Trocheck14:59
xG 0.55–0.55 (50%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Sceviour – Rau8:14
xG 0.10–1.01 (9%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Demers16:30
xG 0.77–0.62 (55%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Pysyk – Matheson15:13
xG 0.61–0.95 (39%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
- Kindl – Ekblad16:03
xG 0.26–0.73 (26%)attempts 10–15goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Hinostroza – Hartman11:58
xG 0.76–0.14 (84%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Panik – Kruger – Rasmussen10:10
xG 0.30–0.15 (66%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Kane – Schmaltz – Panarin3:33
xG 0.04–0.08 (35%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin12:50
xG 0.43–0.49 (46%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Hjalmarsson20:27
xG 1.20–0.63 (66%)attempts 14–16goals 1–0
- Campbell – Seabrook15:05
xG 0.56–0.54 (51%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Campbell – Hjalmarsson2:00
xG 0.05–0.06 (43%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).