Sun, Dec 4, 2016·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 2, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 08 | 113 | 111 | 232 |
| CHI | 03 | 010 | 113 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 19:16WPGBryan LittlePPAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Blake Wheeler · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 13:06CHIArtemi PanarinAssists: Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–1
- P3 15:15WPGAndrew CoppGWGAssists: Marko Dano, Paul Postma · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:22WPGChris Thorburn: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:22CHIJordin Tootoo: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:41CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:48CHIRichard Panik: Interference2 min
- P3 5:19WPGDustin Byfuglien: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:11WPGJacob Trouba: High sticking double minor4 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lowry won the faceoff against Hinostroza
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestLowry – Copp – Dano10:07
xG 0.69–0.04 (95%)attempts 14–3goals 1–0
- Wheeler – Stafford – Perreault13:20
xG 0.62–0.19 (77%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
- Little – Ehlers – Laine14:13
xG 0.40–0.07 (86%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Burmistrov – Tanev5:56
xG 0.03–0.44 (6%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestByfuglien – Morrissey20:37
xG 0.64–0.09 (88%)attempts 18–6goals 0–0
- Enstrom – Trouba18:24
xG 0.82–0.30 (73%)attempts 13–14goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Trouba2:13
xG 0.08–0.20 (28%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestPanik – Kruger – Rasmussen9:36
xG 0.24–0.18 (57%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Hossa – Hinostroza – Hartman10:13
xG 0.10–0.33 (22%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin16:02
xG 0.45–0.77 (37%)attempts 14–13goals 1–1
- Tootoo – Desjardins – Motte4:36
xG 0.05–0.38 (13%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Keith – Seabrook5:23
xG 0.42–0.41 (51%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Kempny7:17
xG 0.25–0.32 (44%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson2:27
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).