Tue, Dec 6, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 18 | 16 | 224 |
| NJD | 18 | 29 | 05 | 322 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:42NJDTaylor HallAssists: Kyle Quincey, PA Parenteau · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 1:10VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Brandon Sutter, Troy Stecher · Slap, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 7:08NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P2 11:09NJDBen LovejoyGWGAssists: Travis Zajac, Kyle Quincey · Slap, 0.04 xG1–3
- P3 3:58VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 11:11NJDTravis Zajac: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:46NJDDamon Severson: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:46VANBrendan Gaunce: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:28NJDJohn Moore: Misconduct10 min
- P1 19:28NJDJohn Moore: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 19:28VANMichael Chaput: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:28NJDJohn Moore: Instigator2 min
- P1 19:28NJDMiles Wood: Bench2 min
- P2 5:55VANErik Gudbranson: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:55VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:55NJDDevante Smith-Pelly: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:33VANTroy Stecher: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Eriksson – Chaput – Granlund6:12
xG 0.04–0.03 (56%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Skille – Gaunce – Megna2:53
xG 0.07–0.08 (48%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Sutter – Granlund – Megna4:16
xG 0.04–0.05 (45%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson7:00
xG 0.15–0.37 (29%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSbisa – Tryamkin3:13
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 1–0
- Sbisa – Hutton3:20
xG 0.04–0.05 (44%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Larsen – Tryamkin3:54
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestSmith-Pelly – Bennett – Kalinin7:44
xG 0.34–0.00 (99%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Fiddler – Wood – Lappin8:01
xG 0.14–0.06 (71%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Henrique – Hall13:08
xG 0.38–0.31 (56%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
- Cammalleri – Zajac – Palmieri12:27
xG 0.12–0.13 (48%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestQuincey – Moore10:08
xG 0.31–0.06 (85%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Quincey – Auvitu2:23
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Greene – Severson12:55
xG 0.26–0.23 (53%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).