Sat, Dec 10, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 015 | 216 | 239 |
| FLA | 112 | 119 | 211 | 442 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:22FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Seth Griffith · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 9:35FLADerek MacKenzieAssists: Paul Thompson, Colton Sceviour · Tip-in, 0.25 xG0–2
- P3 1:05FLAAaron EkbladGWGAssists: Jaromir Jagr, Aleksander Barkov · Backhand, 0.24 xG0–3
- P3 8:06VANJack SkilleAssists: Michael Chaput · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 11:45VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Troy Stecher, Henrik Sedin · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 19:12FLAVincent TrocheckENAssists: Derek MacKenzie, Mark Pysyk · Wrist, 0.69 xG2–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:26VANAlex Biega: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:03FLAPaul Thompson: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:12FLAAleksander Barkov: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:42FLAReilly Smith: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:13VANDaniel Sedin: Holding2 min
- P3 11:13FLAPaul Thompson: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson5:13
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Sutter – Granlund – Megna2:43
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Skille – Chaput – Gaunce8:36
xG 0.44–0.60 (42%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Granlund – Megna8:09
xG 0.31–0.48 (39%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Biega – Tryamkin14:25
xG 0.47–0.88 (35%)attempts 14–10goals 0–0
- Sbisa – Stecher11:44
xG 0.32–0.78 (29%)attempts 10–13goals 0–2
- Gudbranson – Hutton14:49
xG 0.36–0.90 (29%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Griffith – Barkov14:26
xG 1.45–0.17 (89%)attempts 19–6goals 2–0
- Jokinen – Smith – Trocheck10:08
xG 0.39–0.30 (57%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Sceviour – Bjugstad – Rau9:09
xG 0.36–0.27 (57%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
- Thornton – MacKenzie – Thompson6:18
xG 0.10–0.47 (18%)attempts 3–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPysyk – Ekblad9:56
xG 0.84–0.26 (76%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Demers – Ekblad2:06
xG 0.62–0.05 (92%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Yandle – Demers6:37
xG 0.42–0.19 (69%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).