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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 17, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 1, Carolina Hurricanes 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Okposo–EichelO'Reilly–Carrier–ReinhartGionta–Foligno–LarssonGionta–Kane–LarssonKane–Deslauriers–GirgensonsO'Reilly–Foligno–ReinhartOkposo–O'Reilly–EichelOkposo–Reinhart–EichelFoligno–Deslauriers–GirgensonsMcCabe–RistolainenBogosian–KulikovGorges–Franson
Stempniak–Teravainen–Aho4:280.27–0.031:290.00–0.032:080.02–0.012:280.00–0.000:530.08–0.003:430.11–0.035:220.14–0.034:580.17–0.01
Staal–McGinn–Lindholm3:580.00–0.214:200.00–0.030:540.00–0.001:120.00–0.160:580.00–0.020:350.00–0.024:580.01–0.134:200.00–0.284:210.00–0.04
Skinner–Rask–Ryan2:150.13–0.091:150.04–0.004:140.43–0.181:230.11–0.010:400.00–0.010:410.00–0.125:390.17–0.425:520.54–0.030:370.00–0.01
McClement–Stalberg–Nordstrom0:540.10–0.020:320.00–0.013:000.35–0.000:330.02–0.003:010.02–0.041:020.10–0.023:350.35–0.00
Stempniak–Rask–Aho1:060.08–0.031:150.08–0.04
Slavin–Pesce5:540.16–0.081:180.04–0.003:540.00–0.191:110.00–0.001:160.29–0.011:130.02–0.006:220.00–0.265:250.05–0.096:570.46–0.02
Hainsey–Faulk3:240.11–0.156:220.00–0.071:140.43–0.001:460.05–0.011:480.00–0.280:300.08–0.001:120.00–0.028:110.34–0.536:550.34–0.263:480.00–0.01
Tennyson–Hanifin1:430.23–0.012:150.00–0.003:000.11–0.043:500.14–0.000:420.00–0.030:390.00–0.024:570.02–0.045:110.43–0.043:270.04–0.02
Faulk–Pesce0:520.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndStaal FLindholm FMcGinn FAho FStempniak FTeravainen FRyan FRask FSkinner FMcClement FStalberg FNordstrom FFaulk DHainsey DPesce DSlavin DHanifin DTennyson DWard GDeslauriers FCarrier FO'Reilly FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FEichel FOkposo FMoulson FReinhart FKane FGirgensons FMcCabe DRistolainen DBogosian DKulikov DGorges DFranson DNilsson G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2725:180:561:4723
Jaccob SlavinCAR2523:570:571:3823
Justin FaulkCAR2623:170:541:3021
Dmitry KulikovBUF2423:070:581:4712
Brett PesceCAR2322:551:001:3523
Ron HainseyCAR2622:240:521:2622
Jake McCabeBUF2621:400:502:0323
Zach BogosianBUF2221:170:581:4712
Jack EichelBUF2421:160:531:4410
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:550:521:2530
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2520:290:491:2428
Kyle OkposoBUF2320:070:521:3822
Lee StempniakCAR2219:100:521:4430
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2419:030:481:2130
Evander KaneBUF2318:110:471:4433
Victor RaskCAR2018:090:542:2162
Jordan StaalCAR2518:030:431:1533
Elias LindholmCAR2517:540:431:0944
Noah HanifinCAR1717:321:022:0340
Johan LarssonBUF2216:590:461:2802
Josh GorgesBUF2316:510:441:2724
Cody FransonBUF2116:470:481:2723
Brock McGinnCAR2216:290:451:0823
Jeff SkinnerCAR1816:260:551:4341
Sam ReinhartBUF1816:210:551:4724
Brian GiontaBUF2015:490:471:1912
Matt TennysonCAR1715:080:531:5430
Marcus FolignoBUF1715:000:531:3720
Matt MoulsonBUF2014:380:441:1520
Derek RyanCAR1914:310:461:4342
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1611:200:431:0512
William CarrierBUF1510:200:411:2604
Viktor StalbergCAR1510:190:411:0512
Jay McClementCAR159:580:401:0412
Joakim NordstromCAR168:500:330:5512
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF107:300:451:0510