Sun, Dec 18, 2016·TD Garden, Boston
Los Angeles Kings 0, Boston Bruins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 05 | 05 | 08 | 018 |
| BOS | 16 | 011 | 013 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:20BOSJimmy HayesGWGAssists: Colin Miller, Dominic Moore · Tip-in, 0.13 xG0–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:20BOSBrad Marchand: Holding2 min
- P1 14:12BOSKevan Miller: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:12LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:10BOSRyan Spooner: Interference2 min
- P2 3:06BOSZdeno Chara: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 7:45LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:46LAKAnze Kopitar: Boarding2 min
- P3 4:13LAKTyler Toffoli: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 10:33BOSTim Schaller: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – King – Toffoli4:07
xG 0.18–0.07 (73%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Lewis – Pearson7:11
xG 0.15–0.08 (65%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Setoguchi – Kopitar – Pearson2:46
xG 0.02–0.01 (72%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Nolan – Andreoff – Shore4:36
xG 0.11–0.17 (41%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Martinez8:53
xG 0.37–0.12 (76%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Martinez – Doughty2:23
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty2:26
xG 0.09–0.23 (29%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMoore – Hayes – Blidh4:40
xG 0.63–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Nash10:09
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Schaller – Czarnik – Acciari5:59
xG 0.13–0.10 (56%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Backes – Krejci – Spooner9:47
xG 0.17–0.26 (39%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Carlo14:36
xG 0.98–0.33 (75%)attempts 17–8goals 0–0
- Miller – Miller8:32
xG 0.28–0.10 (73%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Miller – Krug3:42
xG 0.05–0.12 (28%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).