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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 20, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Colorado Avalanche 0, Minnesota Wild 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 94% of the time.

MIN winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 3:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 3:49Shot by Zucker, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 6:16Shot by Cannone, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 8:35Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 8:41Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 8:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 10:04Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 12:28Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 12:56Grigorenko: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Scandella, Prosser, Coyle, Niederreiter, Graovac · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  12. P1 14:00Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov5v4
  13. P1 14:05Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov5v4
  14. P1 14:14Goal by Coyle (Staal, Dumba)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Coyle, Dumba · COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Comeau, Colborne

  15. P1 15:46Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 16:17Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 17:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 19:01Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:16Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  22. P2 1:42Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  23. P2 1:43Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamovother
  24. P2 2:05Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P2 3:17Spurgeon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Stewart, Spurgeon, Cannone, Gabriel · COL Tyutin, Bourque, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  26. P2 4:19Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  27. P2 5:54Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 6:33Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 6:40Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 6:31Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 7:42Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 8:21Goal by Koivu (Dumba, Granlund)+12 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin, Dumba · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  33. P2 8:44Shot by Cannone, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 9:03Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 9:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 9:49Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 10:44Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 12:00Shot by Bourque, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 12:09Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 12:45Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 12:49Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 16:08Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 16:38Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 16:47Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 17:02Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 17:23Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 18:05Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:13Shot by Duchene, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P3 2:18Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 3:42Granlund: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Scandella, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin · COL Bourque, Wiercioch, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  53. P3 6:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P3 7:12Shot by Stewart, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 7:36Spurgeon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund · COL Bourque, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  56. P3 9:56Zucker: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Dumba · COL Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  57. P3 9:56Comeau: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Dumba · COL Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  58. P3 9:56Landeskog: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Dumba · COL Comeau, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  59. P3 10:27Shot by Suter, saved by Varlamov5v4
  60. P3 10:51Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov5v4
  61. P3 11:13Niederreiter: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter, Brodin · COL Beauchemin, Tyutin, Soderberg, Duchene

  62. P3 11:37Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov4v4
  63. P3 15:30Parise: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon · COL Tyutin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  64. P3 16:31Shot by Iginla, saved by Dubnyk4v6
  65. P3 17:02MacKinnon: Interference (2 min)4v6

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Granlund · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  66. P3 19:17Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final