Thu, Dec 22, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 0, New Jersey Devils 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 06 | 07 | 03 | 016 |
| NJD | 28 | 19 | 15 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:40NJDPA ParenteauPPGWGAssists: Michael Cammalleri, Damon Severson · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 13:26NJDMiles WoodAssists: Adam Henrique · Backhand, 0.24 xG0–2
- P2 13:49NJDAdam HenriqueAssists: Taylor Hall, PA Parenteau · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 18:38NJDKyle PalmieriPPAssists: Andy Greene, John Moore · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–4
Penalties (23)
- P1 6:18PHINick Cousins: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:00PHIMichael Raffl: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:01NJDMiles Wood: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 13:48NJDLuke Gazdic: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:48NJDVernon Fiddler: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:48PHIBrandon Manning: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:48PHINick Cousins: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:30NJDSeth Helgeson: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:30PHIDale Weise: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:30NJDVernon Fiddler: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:30PHIRadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:30PHIRadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:39NJDDamon Severson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 18:39PHIClaude Giroux: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 0:00NJDMichael Cammalleri: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:00PHINick Cousins: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:00PHIWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:31PHIWayne Simmonds: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:14NJDJon Merrill: Interference2 min
- P3 17:41NJDAdam Henrique: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:41PHIWayne Simmonds: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:41PHIRadko Gudas: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:41PHIWayne Simmonds: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Schenn won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestSimmonds – Schenn – Konecny10:03
xG 0.23–0.04 (86%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Raffl3:35
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- VandeVelde – Bellemare – Lyubimov5:55
xG 0.02–0.01 (57%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Giroux – Voracek – Simmonds2:17
xG 0.07–0.08 (45%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManning – Gostisbehere12:04
xG 0.59–0.35 (63%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Del Zotto – Gostisbehere2:41
xG 0.01–0.02 (21%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Manning – Gudas2:43
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestParenteau – Henrique – Wood6:14
xG 0.29–0.08 (79%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Fiddler – Gazdic – Kalinin6:30
xG 0.22–0.03 (87%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Zajac – Hall9:10
xG 0.17–0.04 (82%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Fiddler – Gazdic – Palmieri2:20
xG 0.00–0.02 (13%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGreene – Severson16:04
xG 0.38–0.13 (74%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Helgeson – Merrill10:07
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Moore14:10
xG 0.56–0.84 (40%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).