Thu, Dec 22, 2016·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Winnipeg Jets 4, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 05 | 111 | 39 | 425 |
| VAN | 19 | 09 | 05 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:54VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 19:17WPGPatrik LaineAssists: Nikolaj Ehlers, Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 1:23WPGNikolaj EhlersGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 12:24WPGNikolaj EhlersPPAssists: Nic Petan, Toby Enstrom · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–1
- P3 15:43WPGBryan LittleAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.35 xG4–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:03VANNikita Tryamkin: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:05VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:51WPGMathieu Perreault: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:43VANNikita Tryamkin: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:31WPGBryan Little: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:17WPGMathieu Perreault: Kneeing2 min
- P2 7:17VANJannik Hansen: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:17WPGMathieu Perreault: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:31WPGJoel Armia: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:14VANSven Baertschi: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Little – Perreault9:07
xG 0.95–0.19 (84%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Scheifele – Ehlers – Laine10:43
xG 0.26–0.14 (65%)attempts 7–4goals 2–0
- Stafford – Dano – Petan5:12
xG 0.20–0.09 (69%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Matthias – Lowry – Armia8:08
xG 0.21–0.13 (62%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Trouba14:31
xG 1.17–0.27 (81%)attempts 22–9goals 3–1
- Postma – Chiarot9:13
xG 0.25–0.18 (58%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Byfuglien – Morrissey15:34
xG 0.31–0.28 (53%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Sutter – Granlund5:34
xG 0.31–0.08 (79%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson3:51
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Skille – Chaput – Megna4:12
xG 0.03–0.11 (23%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Sutter – Granlund – Megna2:18
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSbisa – Tanev3:44
xG 0.16–0.06 (72%)attempts 3–2goals 1–1
- Sbisa – Stecher13:01
xG 0.31–0.34 (48%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Tanev – Hutton8:53
xG 0.14–0.24 (37%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).