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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 23, 2016·Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Buffalo Sabres 1, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 79% of the time.

NYI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson
  3. P1 2:02Boychuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, Boychuk, Ladd, Quine · BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  4. P1 2:02Foligno: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, Boychuk, Ladd, Quine · BUF O'Reilly, Kulikov, Foligno, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  5. P1 5:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Greiss
  6. P1 5:30Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  7. P1 7:41Shot by Bailey, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 8:14Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss
  9. P1 12:05Goal by Beauvillier (Hamonic, Prince)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Hamonic, Tavares, Leddy, Prince, Beauvillier · BUF Gionta, Kulikov, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  10. P1 12:27Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Greiss
  11. P1 13:40Shot by Hamonic, saved by Nilsson
  12. P1 14:00Shot by Bailey, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 17:06Shot by Leddy, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 17:53Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 18:44Shot by Foligno, saved by Greiss
  16. P1 19:06Shot by Moulson, saved by Greiss
  17. P1 19:24Prince: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Hickey, Nelson, Prince, Beauvillier · BUF Moulson, Falk, Grant, Kane, Kulikov

  18. P1 19:52Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:08Shot by Moulson, saved by Greiss4v5
  22. P2 1:16Shot by Moulson, saved by Greiss4v5
  23. P2 1:53Shot by Prince, saved by Nilsson
  24. P2 2:31Seidenberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Seidenberg, Tavares, de Haan, Lee, Strome · BUF Gorges, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, Girgensons

  25. P2 2:36Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Greiss4v5
  26. P2 4:15Shot by Kulikov, saved by Greiss4v5
  27. P2 4:24Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss4v5
  28. P2 6:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Nilsson
  29. P2 7:01Ristolainen: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Hickey, Bailey, Tavares, Lee · BUF Gionta, Kulikov, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  30. P2 7:06Shot by Bailey, saved by Nilsson5v4
  31. P2 7:24Shot by Lee, saved by Nilsson5v4
  32. P2 7:31Shot by Bailey, saved by Nilsson5v4
  33. P2 7:37Shot by Lee, saved by Nilsson5v4
  34. P2 8:05Shot by Gionta, saved by Greiss5v4
  35. P2 9:19Shot by Quine, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 11:47Shot by Foligno, saved by Greiss
  37. P2 13:55Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 14:36Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 14:36Goal by Strome (Clutterbuck, Seidenberg)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Seidenberg, Clutterbuck, Kulemin, de Haan, Strome · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart

  40. P2 14:55Shot by Girgensons, saved by Greiss
  41. P2 16:13Shot by Hamonic, saved by Nilsson
  42. P2 16:19Shot by Ladd, saved by Nilsson
  43. P2 17:28Shot by Gorges, saved by Greiss
  44. P2 17:47Gionta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Seidenberg, Clutterbuck, Kulemin, de Haan, Strome · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Falk, Larsson, Girgensons

  45. P2 17:52Shot by Bailey, saved by Nilsson5v4
  46. P2 18:35Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson5v4
  47. P2 19:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Nilsson5v4
  48. P2 19:21Goal by Tavares (Strome, Bailey)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Tavares, Leddy, Lee, Strome · BUF Gorges, Grant, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:33Shot by de Haan, saved by Nilsson
  52. P3 0:45Shot by Kulemin, saved by Nilsson
  53. P3 1:39Shot by McCabe, saved by Greiss
  54. P3 4:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Nilsson
  55. P3 5:35Goal by Ladd (Chimera, Hamonic)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chimera, Ladd, Hamonic, Leddy, Quine · BUF Moulson, Grant, Kulikov, Carrier, Ristolainen

  56. P3 6:33Shot by Okposo, saved by Greiss
  57. P3 6:54Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Greiss
  58. P3 7:54Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Nilsson
  59. P3 9:00Shot by Falk, saved by Greiss
  60. P3 9:29Shot by Grant, saved by Greiss
  61. P3 9:57Shot by Eichel, saved by Greiss
  62. P3 10:57Shot by Kulikov, saved by Greiss
  63. P3 11:58Shot by Larsson, saved by Greiss
  64. P3 12:34Goal by de Haan (Quine, Seidenberg)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, Ladd, de Haan, Quine · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, McCabe

  65. P3 13:45Shot by Okposo, saved by Greiss
  66. P3 14:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 15:09Shot by Boychuk, saved by Nilsson
  68. P3 15:20Shot by Kulikov, saved by Greiss
  69. P3 16:03Shot by Falk, saved by Greiss
  70. P3 17:31Shot by Carrier, saved by Greiss
  71. P3 18:30Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Nilsson
  72. P3 18:57Goal by Girgensons (Bogosian, Reinhart)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Chimera, Seidenberg, Ladd, de Haan, Quine · BUF Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final