Tue, Dec 27, 2016·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 213 | 013 | 18 | 334 |
| CHI | 013 | 112 | 010 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:27WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Bryan Little, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–0
- P1 14:48WPGMark ScheifeleGWGAssists: Jacob Trouba, Nikolaj Ehlers · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–0
- P2 7:37CHIArtem AnisimovAssists: Patrick Kane, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
- P3 2:27WPGDrew StaffordAssists: Nic Petan, Marko Dano · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–1
Penalties (4)
- P1 1:08CHIVinnie Hinostroza: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:14WPGToby Enstrom: Holding2 min
- P2 3:09WPGToby Enstrom: Holding2 min
- P3 7:29WPGBlake Wheeler: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Little won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Little – Perreault11:45
xG 1.12–0.40 (74%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
- Matthias – Lowry – Armia11:00
xG 0.78–0.24 (77%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Stafford – Dano – Petan5:27
xG 0.59–0.49 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Scheifele – Ehlers – Laine14:35
xG 0.46–0.78 (37%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnstrom – Trouba19:03
xG 1.87–0.70 (73%)attempts 22–18goals 2–1
- Byfuglien – Morrissey16:18
xG 1.03–0.26 (80%)attempts 16–14goals 0–0
- Postma – Chiarot9:09
xG 0.07–0.68 (9%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDesjardins – Motte – Kero3:47
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Panik – Kruger – Rasmussen6:33
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin14:13
xG 0.49–0.98 (33%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
- Toews – Hinostroza – Hartman7:39
xG 0.59–1.11 (35%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – van Riemsdyk6:14
xG 0.86–0.28 (76%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Forsling4:58
xG 0.22–0.01 (94%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – van Riemsdyk2:04
xG 0.11–0.03 (79%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).