Mon, Jan 2, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Boston Bruins 0, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 012 | 05 | 05 | 022 |
| NJD | 113 | 07 | 26 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:12NJDPA ParenteauGWGAssists: Taylor Hall, Steven Santini · Snap, 0.41 xG0–1
- P3 1:44NJDSergey KalininAssists: Miles Wood, Jon Merrill · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 18:02NJDTaylor HallENAssists: Sergey Kalinin · Snap, 0.68 xG0–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:45NJDMiles Wood: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:45BOSColin Miller: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:45BOSColin Miller: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:36BOSAdam McQuaid: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 17:03NJDBeau Bennett: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:36BOSFrank Vatrano: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:52BOSZdeno Chara: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:34BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:34NJDKyle Quincey: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:34BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:32NJDSergey Kalinin: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak11:29
xG 0.97–0.41 (70%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Nash – Schaller – Czarnik6:45
xG 0.57–0.11 (83%)attempts 10–2goals 0–1
- Moore – Blidh – Acciari7:06
xG 0.44–0.40 (52%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Krejci – Spooner – Vatrano9:02
xG 0.15–0.13 (52%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Carlo2:00
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Miller – Miller7:33
xG 0.21–0.15 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Chara – McQuaid2:15
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestParenteau – Hall – Zacha8:40
xG 1.03–0.03 (97%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Gazdic – Smith-Pelly – Bennett5:53
xG 0.32–0.26 (55%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Wood – Kalinin – Lappin9:35
xG 0.16–0.33 (33%)attempts 3–6goals 1–0
- Cammalleri – Henrique – Palmieri10:45
xG 0.50–0.91 (36%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMerrill – Santini8:48
xG 1.09–0.08 (93%)attempts 9–3goals 2–0
- Greene – Santini2:05
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Merrill2:47
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).