Thu, Jan 12, 2017·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Vancouver Canucks 4, Philadelphia Flyers 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 113 | 311 | 010 | 04 | 0 | 438 |
| PHI | 18 | 212 | 114 | 01 | 1 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:21VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Troy Stecher, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 14:30PHITravis KonecnyPPAssists: Dale Weise, Sean Couturier · Snap, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 1:51VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Chris Tanev, Bo Horvat · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–1
- P2 9:21PHIPierre-Edouard BellemareAssists: Matt Read · Slap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 9:39PHISean CouturierAssists: Jakub Voracek, Nick Cousins · Snap, 0.22 xG2–3
- P2 10:01VANMarkus GranlundAssists: Jayson Megna, Brandon Sutter · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–3
- P2 12:46VANBrandon SutterAssists: Jayson Megna, Troy Stecher · Snap, 0.17 xG4–3
- P3 0:57PHIBrayden SchennPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Wayne Simmonds · Snap, 0.19 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. PHI Nick Cousins stopped
- 2. VAN Markus Granlund stopped
- 3. PHI Claude Giroux scored
- 4. VAN Bo Horvat stopped
- 5. PHI Jakub Voracek stopped
- 6. VAN Loui Eriksson stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:31PHIBrandon Manning: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 8:41PHIMichael Del Zotto: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 13:01VANNikita Tryamkin: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:33PHIBrandon Manning: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:51PHIMichael Del Zotto: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:16VANLoui Eriksson: Interference2 min
- P2 17:02PHIBrayden Schenn: Interference2 min
- P2 19:56VANMichael Chaput: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 8:50VANNikita Tryamkin: Holding2 min
- P3 14:01PHISean Couturier: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Schenn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSutter – Granlund – Megna6:56
xG 0.69–0.21 (76%)attempts 13–10goals 2–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson8:16
xG 0.36–0.33 (52%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Skille – Chaput – Gaunce7:10
xG 0.12–0.15 (45%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Burrows – Baertschi – Horvat8:56
xG 0.38–0.49 (44%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSbisa – Tanev11:06
xG 0.57–0.18 (77%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Edler – Stecher14:37
xG 0.57–0.49 (54%)attempts 14–15goals 1–0
- Biega – Tryamkin9:53
xG 0.39–0.72 (35%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Cousins – Couturier9:01
xG 0.57–0.15 (79%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- VandeVelde – Read – Bellemare3:33
xG 0.11–0.06 (66%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Giroux – Raffl – Konecny7:28
xG 0.27–0.37 (42%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Simmonds – Weise – Schenn7:52
xG 0.20–0.69 (23%)attempts 5–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDel Zotto – Manning13:14
xG 0.65–0.54 (55%)attempts 13–13goals 1–0
- MacDonald – Provorov10:31
xG 0.33–0.34 (49%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Schultz – Gostisbehere6:56
xG 0.35–0.49 (42%)attempts 10–11goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).