Fri, Jan 13, 2017·Verizon Center, Washington
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Washington Capitals 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 012 | 07 | 024 |
| WSH | 314 | 110 | 210 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:04WSHJay BeagleGWGAssists: Daniel Winnik, Tom Wilson · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 6:17WSHNicklas BackstromAssists: T.J. Oshie, Alex Ovechkin · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 17:49WSHBrett ConnollyAssists: Lars Eller, Andre Burakovsky · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
- P2 17:01WSHTom WilsonAssists: Nate Schmidt, Lars Eller · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–4
- P3 8:11WSHT.J. OshieAssists: Nicklas Backstrom, Nate Schmidt · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–5
- P3 18:28WSHJay BeagleAssists: John Carlson, Tom Wilson · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–6
Penalties (2)
- P2 2:31WSHBrett Connolly: Interference2 min
- P2 14:45WSHNate Schmidt: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backstrom won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestAnisimov – Kane – Panarin14:55
xG 0.81–0.58 (59%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Hossa – Toews – Hartman2:41
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Panik – Hinostroza – Kero2:48
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Panik – Hartman – Kero11:12
xG 0.13–0.46 (22%)attempts 4–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook11:36
xG 0.83–0.26 (76%)attempts 15–6goals 0–0
- Hjalmarsson – van Riemsdyk12:12
xG 0.39–0.53 (43%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Keith – Hjalmarsson7:54
xG 0.14–0.29 (32%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestWinnik – Beagle – Wilson8:47
xG 0.52–0.10 (84%)attempts 10–5goals 2–0
- Eller – Connolly – Burakovsky12:01
xG 0.39–0.08 (84%)attempts 16–2goals 1–0
- Ovechkin – Oshie – Backstrom13:13
xG 0.72–0.47 (60%)attempts 11–14goals 2–0
- Williams – Johansson – Kuznetsov16:15
xG 0.69–0.67 (51%)attempts 13–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlzner – Carlson16:22
xG 1.09–0.64 (63%)attempts 17–15goals 2–0
- Niskanen – Orlov19:48
xG 0.97–0.57 (63%)attempts 16–16goals 1–0
- Orpik – Schmidt16:01
xG 0.51–0.41 (56%)attempts 19–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).