Sat, Jan 14, 2017·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
St. Louis Blues 4, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 010 | 213 | 23 | 426 |
| SJS | 07 | 011 | 05 | 023 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:27STLColton ParaykoPPGWGAssists: Paul Stastny, Kevin Shattenkirk · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 10:01STLDavid PerronAssists: Colton Parayko, Robby Fabbri · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–0
- P3 9:16STLJori LehteraAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Vladimir Tarasenko · Tip-in, 0.15 xG3–0
- P3 14:37STLAlexander SteenENAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Kevin Shattenkirk · Snap, 0.69 xG4–0
Penalties (9)
- P2 2:52STLAlexander Steen: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:03STLAlex Pietrangelo: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:18SJSJoe Pavelski: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 11:09SJSJoe Thornton: Spearing5 min
- P2 11:09SJSJoe Thornton: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 11:24STLKevin Shattenkirk: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:04STLRobby Fabbri: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 19:24SJSMicheal Haley: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:24STLRyan Reaves: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tierney won the faceoff against Stastny
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBerglund – Perron – Fabbri13:06
xG 0.44–0.17 (71%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Lehtera – Tarasenko – Yakupov11:06
xG 0.26–0.30 (46%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Brodziak – Reaves – Jaskin9:59
xG 0.17–0.32 (35%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Steen – Stastny – Schwartz12:34
xG 0.15–0.43 (25%)attempts 6–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Parayko17:54
xG 0.51–0.09 (85%)attempts 14–7goals 2–0
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson11:28
xG 0.20–0.37 (36%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Bouwmeester – Shattenkirk16:34
xG 0.48–0.77 (39%)attempts 11–24goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestWard – Tierney – Meier8:43
xG 0.41–0.14 (74%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Boedker – Labanc6:50
xG 0.18–0.03 (86%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Couture – Boedker – Meier3:31
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Marleau – Pavelski – Karlsson4:16
xG 0.05–0.08 (37%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Burns10:35
xG 0.39–0.22 (64%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Burns – Schlemko9:13
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Martin – Dillon6:05
xG 0.07–0.08 (47%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).