Sun, Jan 15, 2017·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New Jersey Devils 2, Vancouver Canucks 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 07 | 18 | 06 | 11 | 222 |
| VAN | 08 | 15 | 07 | 02 | 122 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:31VANLoui ErikssonAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 16:57NJDKyle QuinceyAssists: Damon Severson, Beau Bennett · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- OT 1:28NJDTaylor HallGWGAssists: Travis Zajac · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 15:07NJDKyle Quincey: Interference2 min
- P2 0:54NJDJon Merrill: Holding2 min
- P3 6:12VANDaniel Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:09NJDBlake Coleman: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:22NJDKarl Stollery: Embellishment2 min
- P3 18:22VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Henrique
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestCammalleri – Zajac – Palmieri11:06
xG 0.35–0.16 (68%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Josefson – Bennett – Zacha8:48
xG 0.23–0.15 (60%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Smith-Pelly – Coleman – Wood5:38
xG 0.08–0.08 (48%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Henrique – Hall11:13
xG 0.11–0.23 (33%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStollery – Santini12:25
xG 0.35–0.12 (74%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
- Quincey – Severson14:43
xG 0.32–0.20 (62%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Merrill17:57
xG 0.22–0.43 (34%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSutter – Granlund – Megna9:31
xG 0.29–0.03 (92%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Eriksson11:18
xG 0.26–0.21 (56%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Burrows – Baertschi – Horvat10:56
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Skille – Chaput – Gaunce7:31
xG 0.02–0.32 (6%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Stecher15:17
xG 0.45–0.26 (63%)attempts 12–8goals 1–1
- Sbisa – Tanev16:56
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Biega – Tryamkin13:13
xG 0.11–0.40 (21%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).