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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 18, 2017·Centre Bell, Montreal

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Montréal Canadiens 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

MTL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:04Shot by Shaw, saved by Murray
  4. P1 2:16Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:38Shot by Crosby, saved by Price
  6. P1 5:43Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Price
  7. P1 7:25Shot by Cole, saved by Price
  8. P1 8:55Shot by Weber, saved by Murray
  9. P1 12:33Shot by Sheary, saved by Price
  10. P1 13:09Shot by Plekanec, saved by Murray
  11. P1 13:28Shot by Fehr, saved by Price
  12. P1 13:30Shot by Wilson, saved by Price
  13. P1 13:46Shot by Flynn, saved by Murray
  14. P1 13:49Shot by Petry, saved by Murray
  15. P1 14:52Goal by Cole (Malkin, Hornqvist)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Radulov, Pacioretty, Redmond, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Cole, Schultz, Guentzel

  16. P1 15:18Shot by Rust, saved by Price
  17. P1 15:55Shot by Sheary, saved by Price
  18. P1 16:58Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Price
  19. P1 18:57Shot by Plekanec, saved by Murray
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:40Shot by Sheary, saved by Price
  23. P2 1:58Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Price
  24. P2 2:17Radulov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Weber, Radulov, Emelin, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Rust, Maatta, Sheary

  25. P2 2:35Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price4v5
  26. P2 3:53Shot by Schultz, saved by Price4v5
  27. P2 4:57Shot by Redmond, saved by Murray
  28. P2 5:07Shot by Kunitz, saved by Price
  29. P2 5:19Goal by Fehr (Kunitz, Wilson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Radulov, Pacioretty, Redmond, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Fehr, Wilson, Maatta

  30. P2 7:57Shot by de la Rose, saved by Murray
  31. P2 9:01Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Murray
  32. P2 10:30Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price
  33. P2 11:02Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Murray
  34. P2 12:21Shot by Fehr, saved by Price
  35. P2 15:53Shot by Fehr, saved by Price
  36. P2 17:38Goal by Guentzel (Gaunce, Hornqvist)+8 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Mitchell, Petry, Barberio, Flynn, de la Rose · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Schultz, Gaunce, Guentzel

  37. P2 18:11Goal by Andrighetto (Emelin, Lehkonen)+8 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Weber, Emelin, Andrighetto, Lehkonen · PIT Daley, Crosby, Rust, Maatta, Sheary

  38. P2 19:32Shot by Rust, saved by Price
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:32Shot by Schultz, saved by Price
  42. P3 1:22Shot by Malkin, saved by Price
  43. P3 2:18Shot by Shaw, saved by Murray
  44. P3 2:42Shot by Shaw, saved by Murray
  45. P3 2:53Shot by Emelin, saved by Murray
  46. P3 5:24Pacioretty: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Petry, Pacioretty, Barberio, Shaw, Danault · PIT Daley, Malkin, Hornqvist, Cole, Guentzel

  47. P3 7:09Daley: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Weber, Emelin, Mitchell, Flynn · PIT Daley, Bonino, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Sheary

  48. P3 9:02Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Murray5v4
  49. P3 9:42Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Murray
  50. P3 12:17Shot by Barberio, saved by Murray
  51. P3 15:36Goal by Maatta (Sheary)+1 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Petry, Pacioretty, Shaw, Beaulieu, Danault · PIT Crosby, Wilson, Maatta, Ruhwedel, Sheary

  52. P3 16:05Shot by Gaunce, saved by Price
  53. P3 17:34Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Murray
  54. P3 18:16Shot by Petry, saved by Murray
  55. P3 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Final