Tue, Jan 24, 2017·Prudential Center, Newark
Los Angeles Kings 3, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 312 | 08 | 05 | 325 |
| NJD | 08 | 07 | 110 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:50LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Jeff Carter, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 1:46LAKTanner PearsonGWGAssists: Jeff Carter, Devin Setoguchi · Snap, 0.02 xG2–0
- P1 16:15LAKAlec MartinezAssists: Marian Gaborik, Nicholas Shore · Snap, 0.39 xG3–0
- P3 7:19NJDKyle QuinceyAssists: Michael Cammalleri, Miles Wood · Snap, 0.05 xG3–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:41NJDKyle Quincey: Holding2 min
- P1 5:31LAKTrevor Lewis: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:11LAKTrevor Lewis: Boarding2 min
- P1 8:27LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:14NJDJon Merrill: Interference2 min
- P2 6:14LAKJordan Nolan: Delaying game2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Lewis
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Clifford – Andreoff3:26
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- King – Nolan – Shore8:39
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Brown – Kopitar12:54
xG 0.39–0.38 (51%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Lewis – Nolan – Andreoff3:09
xG 0.06–0.14 (30%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty18:02
xG 1.01–0.63 (62%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Doughty – McNabb2:10
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- McNabb – Gravel12:09
xG 0.15–0.28 (34%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestZajac – Palmieri – Hall11:24
xG 0.60–0.20 (75%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Cammalleri – Henrique – Wood10:51
xG 0.72–0.45 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Fiddler – Gazdic – Kalinin5:50
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Josefson – Zacha10:21
xG 0.13–0.39 (26%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestQuincey – Severson17:01
xG 0.54–0.37 (59%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Lovejoy – Merrill14:33
xG 0.35–0.35 (50%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Stollery – Santini11:43
xG 0.49–0.61 (44%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).