Thu, Jan 26, 2017·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Los Angeles Kings 3, Carolina Hurricanes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 08 | 09 | 312 | 329 |
| CAR | 07 | 09 | 06 | 022 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 15:17LAKMarian GaborikGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 15:55LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Devin Setoguchi, Brayden McNabb · Backhand, 0.25 xG2–0
- P3 17:36LAKKyle CliffordENAssists: Tanner Pearson, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.59 xG3–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:43CARKlas Dahlbeck: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:11LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:11CARBrock McGinn: Holding2 min
- P2 7:57LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:25LAKDevin Setoguchi: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:14LAKAndy Andreoff: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:47LAKAlec Martinez: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Teravainen won the faceoff against Carter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSetoguchi – Lewis – Andreoff7:52
xG 0.61–0.06 (91%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Gaborik – Brown – Kopitar8:07
xG 0.42–0.08 (83%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Carter – Clifford – Pearson8:57
xG 0.36–0.21 (64%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- King – Nolan – Shore7:15
xG 0.28–0.21 (58%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Gravel10:11
xG 0.80–0.19 (81%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Doughty – McNabb2:19
xG 0.24–0.03 (87%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Muzzin – Doughty17:22
xG 0.59–0.56 (51%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- McClement – Stalberg – Nordstrom7:22
xG 0.15–0.29 (34%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Staal – McGinn – Lindholm11:55
xG 0.25–0.42 (37%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Skinner – Rask – Ryan9:49
xG 0.31–0.67 (32%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Teravainen – Aho12:20
xG 0.33–0.87 (28%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSlavin – Pesce17:02
xG 1.01–0.48 (68%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Slavin – Hanifin2:05
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Dahlbeck – Hanifin9:56
xG 0.39–0.48 (45%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).