Thu, Feb 9, 2017·TD Garden, Boston
San Jose Sharks 3, Boston Bruins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 111 | 19 | 16 | 326 |
| BOS | 312 | 215 | 16 | 633 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:52BOSDavid BackesAssists: Torey Krug, David Krejci · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 7:51SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 15:52BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Backes, Brandon Carlo · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–2
- P1 17:31BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.17 xG1–3
- P2 1:08SJSJustin BraunAssists: Logan Couture, Patrick Marleau · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P2 13:04BOSTim SchallerGWGAssists: Riley Nash, Dominic Moore · Wrist, 0.39 xG2–4
- P2 19:11BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–5
- P3 17:23SJSTimo MeierAssists: Joel Ward, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–5
- P3 19:30BOSBrad MarchandENAssists: Patrice Bergeron, David Backes · Wrist, 0.62 xG3–6
Penalties (5)
- P1 17:03SJSMicheal Haley: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 10:39SJSPaul Martin: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:43SJSChris Tierney: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 2:46BOSFrank Vatrano: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 15:13BOSAdam McQuaid: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Ward – Tierney – Karlsson2:14
xG 0.03–0.01 (84%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Haley – Carpenter – Karlsson5:01
xG 0.15–0.17 (47%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Ward – Tierney – Meier6:18
xG 0.10–0.14 (41%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Haley – Carpenter – Meier3:07
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Burns15:51
xG 0.69–0.50 (58%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Burns – Vlasic2:05
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Martin – Dillon2:23
xG 0.01–0.01 (73%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMoore – Nash – Schaller9:41
xG 0.69–0.26 (72%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Hayes – Spooner – Vatrano7:36
xG 0.34–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Backes – Marchand12:50
xG 0.54–0.45 (55%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Krejci – Beleskey – Pastrnak9:40
xG 0.18–0.34 (35%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Carlo15:11
xG 1.33–0.62 (68%)attempts 18–13goals 2–2
- Liles – Miller13:24
xG 0.38–0.02 (94%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Krug15:51
xG 0.23–0.57 (29%)attempts 7–15goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).