Thu, Feb 23, 2017·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Boston Bruins 4, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 111 | 17 | 27 | 425 |
| LAK | 110 | 015 | 03 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:16BOSBrad MarchandUnassisted · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 18:12LAKKevin GravelPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Alec Martinez · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1
- P2 4:43BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Ryan Spooner, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 18:58BOSDominic MooreENAssists: Brad Marchand, Adam McQuaid · Wrist, 0.61 xG3–1
- P3 19:52BOSDavid KrejciENAssists: Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.48 xG4–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:44BOSDominic Moore: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:19LAKKyle Clifford: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:29BOSAdam McQuaid: Interference2 min
- P2 15:31BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:08BOSBrad Marchand: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:08LAKBrayden McNabb: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Bergeron – Backes – Marchand11:11
xG 0.17–0.31 (35%)attempts 6–12goals 1–0
- Krejci – Cehlarik – Pastrnak13:02
xG 0.55–0.80 (41%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Moore – Beleskey – Schaller8:27
xG 0.13–0.41 (25%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Hayes – Spooner – Vatrano8:12
xG 0.18–0.64 (21%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – McQuaid2:43
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Krug – Carlo2:54
xG 0.08–0.05 (62%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Miller2:29
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestClifford – Dowd – Kempe8:04
xG 0.70–0.04 (94%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Gaborik – Lewis – Shore10:16
xG 0.63–0.19 (77%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – King – Toffoli12:28
xG 0.35–0.26 (58%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Carter – Brown – Pearson13:09
xG 0.55–0.48 (53%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Forbort18:14
xG 0.75–0.16 (83%)attempts 18–9goals 0–0
- McNabb – Gravel10:11
xG 0.69–0.17 (80%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Martinez10:34
xG 0.46–0.26 (64%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).